E-mails Exchanged Between Ron and Greenwood

2004

Greenwood's old friend, Ron living in Manhattan Beach and Greenwood living in Seven Mile Beach has been exchanging their views on various aspects of the world through email over more than 9 years. With the permission of Ron, a record of  mails exchanged in 2004 was compiled in chronological order.

E-Mails in 1999

E-Mails in 2000

E-Mails in 2001

E-Mails in 2002

E-Mails in 2003



2004/1/11 0:02
How L. B. J. Killed J. F. K
Dear Ron,
From Japanese TV, I have learned that former staff of "superlawyer" Ed Clark wrote an insider story about how L. B. J. killed J. F. K. The name of the book is "Blood, Money & Power: How L. B. J. Killed J. F. K." by Barr McClellan. I have checked Amazon.com. attached is a part of it. I understand Lady Bird Johnson is an owner of Haliburton. Isn't it interesting?
Best regard,
Greenwood



Editorial Reviews
McClellan's overwrought conspiracy theory claims that Lyndon Johnson-motivated by power lust, fear of being dropped from the Kennedy ticket, and the need to cover up various scandals-masterminded Kennedy's assassination with the help of his evil "superlawyer" Ed Clark. But his evidence is meager and murky, even by the standards of Kennedy conspiracy scholarship. The main exhibit is a smudged partial fingerprint from Oswald's sniper's nest that may or may not belong to a Johnson associate, depending on which fingerprint expert you ask. Otherwise McClellan relies on what he heard during his years at Clark's law firm-e.g., a partner told him that Clark arranged the assassination-and the description of scenes in which a "a fixed stare," vague, unspoken understandings, and "code words" proved that Johnson and Clark were conspiring. Sample accusations include: "I knew Clark was admitting to the payoff for the assassination even though he never said he received a payoff for assassinating Kennedy...." The book offers many detailed accounts of conspiratorial meetings that turn out to be not fact but "faction" or "journalistic novelization"-that is, conjecture designed to distract readers from the lack of evidence. McClellan styles the assassination as the defeat of Camelot by Texas's sleazy nexus of dirty politicians, slick lawyers and oil money; the unmasking of Johnson, the personification of such back-room power politics, therefore promises a public "emotional purging" leading to the renewal of democracy. His confusingly structured, evasively argued, often nonsensical theories attest to the crime's continuing potency as a symbol of America's mythic heart of darkness. Photos. Copyright 2003 Reed Business Information, Inc.

An insiders knowledge is combined with hundreds of newly released documents to shed new light on one of history's greatest unsolved mysteries.

The plot to assassinate President John F. Kennedy has been shrouded in secrecy and deceit, leading most Americans to doubt the veracity of the Warren Commission's findings. Now, after forty years, Barr McClellan exposes the secret, high-level conspiracy in Texas that led to Kennedy's death and L.B.J.'s succession as President. Utilizing court documents, insider interviews and even the findings of the Warren Commission, Barr McClellan reveals the complex maneuvers, payoffs and power plays that changed the history of the 20th century. If absolute power corrupts, then blood, money and deception are its allies. This powerful book represents the very best of investigative journalism, with independent corroboration of all key points, and is compelling convincing and historically significant.

 

 

Monday, January 12, 2004 8:00 AM
Re: How L. B. J. Killed J. F. K

Dear Greenwood,
I tend to disregard the conspiracy theories about JFK's assassination. I've not seen one that really has any evidence. (It's hard to believe the Amazon reviewers were reading the same book!)

The Oil-Politics-Construction company linkages, however, are well established. These are especially murky in the Middle East - where corruption is the way of life for most governments.

Kevin Phillips is a Republican, an Author and an Investigative Journalist. At one time I regarded him as a right winger, but he's come out with many interesting and well-researched stories in recent years. I believe I've mentioned him to you on previous occasions.

In today's LA Times he has a great article about the connections between FOUR generations of the Bush Family and Middle Eastern Oil. I fins this very compelling - it certainly is consistent with my experience with the "Texas Oilman".

Here it is: I hope you find it informative.

Ron


The Barreling Bushes
Four generations of the dynasty have chased profits through cozy ties with Mideast leaders, spinning webs of conflicts of interest By Kevin Phillips Kevin Phillips' new book, "American Dynasty: Aristocracy, Fortune and the Politics of Deceit in the House of Bush," has just been published by Viking Penguin.
January 11, 2004

WASHINGTON  Dynasties in American politics are dangerous. We saw it with the Kennedys, we may well see it with the Clintons and we're certainly seeing it with the Bushes. Between now and the November election, it's crucial that Americans come to understand how four generations of the current president's family have embroiled the United States in the Middle East through CIA connections, arms shipments, rogue banks, inherited war policies and personal financial links.

As early as 1964, George H.W. Bush, running for the U.S. Senate from Texas, was labeled by incumbent Democrat Ralph Yarborough as a hireling of the sheik of Kuwait, for whom Bush's company drilled offshore oil wells. Over the four decades since then, the ever-reaching Bushes have emerged as the first U.S. political clan to thoroughly entangle themselves with Middle Eastern royal families and oil money. The family even has links to the Bin Ladens — though not to family black sheep Osama bin Laden — going back to the 1970s.

How these unusual relationships helped bring about 9/11 and then distorted the U.S. response to Islamic terrorism requires thinking of the Bush family as a dynasty. The two Bush presidencies are inextricably linked by that dynasty.

The first family member lured by the Middle East's petroleum wealth was George W. Bush's great-grandfather, George H. Walker, a buccaneer who was president of Wall Street-based W.A. Harriman & Co. In the 1920s, Walker and his firm participated in rebuilding the Baku oil fields only a few hundred miles north of current-day Iraq. As senior director of Dresser Industries (now part of Halliburton), Walker's son-in-law Prescott Bush (George W. Bush's grandfather) became involved with the Middle East in the years after World War II. But it was George H.W. Bush, the current president's father, who forged the dynasty's strongest ties to the region.

George H.W. Bush was the first CIA director to come from the oil industry. He went on to became the first vice president — and then the first president — to have either an oil or CIA background. This helps to explain his persistent bent toward the Middle East, covert operations and rogue banks like the Abu Dhabi-based Bank of Credit and Commerce International (BCCI), which came to be known by the nickname "Bank of Crooks and Criminals International." In each of the government offices he held, he encouraged CIA involvement in Iran, Pakistan, Afghanistan and other Middle Eastern countries, and he pursued policies that helped make the Middle East into the world's primary destination for arms shipments.

Taking the CIA helm in January 1976, Bush cemented strong relations with the intelligence services of both Saudi Arabia and the shah of Iran. He worked closely with Kamal Adham, the head of Saudi intelligence, brother-in-law of King Faisal and an early BCCI insider. After leaving the CIA in January 1977, Bush became chairman of the executive committee of First International Bancshares and its British subsidiary, where, according to journalists Peter Truell and Larry Gurwin in their 1992 book "False Profits," Bush "traveled on the bank's behalf and sometimes marketed to international banks in London, including several Middle Eastern institutions."

Once in the White House, first as vice president to Ronald Reagan and later as president, George H.W. Bush was linked to at least two Middle East-centered scandals. It's never been entirely clear what Bush's connection was to the Iran-Contra affair, in which clandestine arms shipments to Iran, some BCCI-financed, helped illegally fund the operations of the anti-Sandinista Contra rebels in Nicaragua. But in 1992, special prosecutor Lawrence E. Walsh asserted that Bush, despite his protestations, had indeed been "in the loop" on multiple illegal acts.

Much clearer was Bush's pivotal role, both as vice president and president, in "Iraqgate," the hidden aid provided by the U.S. and its military to Saddam Hussein's Iraq in its high-stakes war with Iran during the 1980s. The U.S. is known to have provided both biological cultures that could have been used for weapons and nuclear know-how to the regime, as well as conventional weapons. As ABC-TV broadcaster Ted Koppel put it in a June 1992 "Nightline" program after the 1991 Persian Gulf War: "It is becoming increasingly clear that George [H.W.] Bush, operating largely behind the scenes through the 1980s, initiated and supported much of the financing, intelligence and military help that built Saddam's Iraq into the aggressive power that the United States ultimately had to destroy."

During these years, Bush's four sons — George W., Jeb, Neil and Marvin — were following in the family footsteps, lining up business deals with Saudi, Kuwaiti and Bahraini moneymen and cozying up to BCCI. The Middle East was becoming a convenient family money spigot.

Eldest son George W. Bush made his first Middle East connection in the late 1970s with James Bath, a Texas businessmen who served as the North American representative for two rich Saudis (and Osama bin Laden relatives) — billionaire Salem bin Laden and banker and BCCI insider Khalid bin Mahfouz. Bath put $50,000 into Bush's 1979 Arbusto oil partnership, probably using Bin Laden-Bin Mahfouz funds.

In the late 1980s, after several failed oil ventures, the future 43rd president let the ailing oil business in which he was a major stockholder and chairman be bought out by another foreign-influenced operation, Harken Energy. The Wall Street Journal commented in 1991, "The mosaic of BCCI connections surrounding Harken Energy may prove nothing more than how ubiquitous the rogue bank's ties were. But the number of BCCI-connected people who had dealings with Harken — all since George W. Bush came on board — likewise raises the question of whether they mask an effort to cozy up to a presidential son."

Other hints of cronyism came in 1990 when inexperienced Harken got a major contract to drill in the Persian Gulf for the government of Bahrain. Time magazine reporters Jonathan Beaty and S.C. Gwynne, in their book "The Outlaw Bank," concluded "that Mahfouz, or other BCCI players, must have had a hand in steering the oil-drilling contract to the president's son." The web entangling the Bush presidencies was already being spun.

Second son Jeb Bush, now the governor of Florida, spent most of his time in the early and mid-1980s hobnobbing with ex-Cuban intelligence officers, Nicaraguan Contras and others plugged into the lucrative orbit of Miami-area front groups for the CIA. But he too had some Middle East connections. Two of his business associates, Guillermo Hernandez-Cartaya and Camilo Padreda, both indicted for financial dealings, were longtime associates of Middle Eastern arms dealer, BCCI investor and Iran-Contra figure Adnan Khashoggi. Prosecutors dropped the case against the two, and a federal judge ordered Padreda's name expunged from the record. But a few years later Padreda, a former Miami-Dade County GOP treasurer, was convicted of fraud over a federally insured housing development that Jeb Bush had helped to facilitate. Jeb Bush also socialized with Adbur Sakhia, the Miami BCCI branch chief and later its top U.S. official.

Neil Bush, most famous for the scandal surrounding the corrupt practices of Colorado's Silverado Savings & Loan, where he served as a director during the 1980s, also picked plums from Persian Gulf orchards. In 1993, after his father left the White House, Neil went to Kuwait with his parents, brother Marvin and former Secretary of State James A. Baker III. When his father left, Neil stayed to lobby for business contracts, and after returning home evolved a set of lucrative relationships with Syrian-American businessman Jamal Daniel. One of their ventures, Ignite!, an educational software company, also included representatives of at least three ruling Persian Gulf families.

The Bush family's Middle Eastern commercial focus is further exemplified by Marvin, the youngest brother of the current president. From 1993 to 2000 he was a major shareholder, along with Mishal Youssef Saud al Sabah, a member of the Kuwaiti royal family, in the Kuwait-American Corp., which had holdings in several U.S. defense, aviation and industrial security companies.

George H.W. Bush's own Persian Gulf relationships kept expanding. While serving in the Reagan White House during the 1980s, he was known in the Middle East as "the Saudi vice president," and a New Yorker article last year described the Saudi ambassador to the U.S. as "almost a member of the [Bush] family." Indeed, many saw the 1991 Gulf War to expel Iraq from Kuwait as an outgrowth of Bush's close ties to the oil industry and to Persian Gulf royal families, who felt threatened by Saddam Hussein's expansionism.

After losing his bid for a second term as president, Bush joined up in 1993 with the Washington-based Carlyle Group. Under the leadership of ex-officials like Baker and former Defense Secretary Frank C. Carlucci, Carlyle developed a specialty in buying defense companies and doubling or quadrupling their value. The ex-president not only became an investor in Carlyle, but a member of the company's Asia Advisory Board and a rainmaker who drummed up investors. Twelve rich Saudi families, including the Bin Ladens, were among them. In 2002, the Washington Post reported, "Saudis close to Prince Sultan, the Saudi defense minister … were encouraged to put money into Carlyle as a favor to the elder Bush." Bush retired from the company last October, and Baker, who lobbied U.S. allies last month to forgive Iraq's debt, remains a Carlyle senior counselor.

If the 1991 war with Iraq and its aftermath cemented the Bush ties with oil elites and royalty in the Middle East, it angered Islamic true believers and radicals. By the late 1990s, many of the Islamic insurgents who had been mobilized by the CIA and others to chase the Soviets out of Afghanistan were becoming increasingly anti-American. They found a kinship with Osama bin Laden, the renegade of his billionaire Saudi family, who was outraged at the U.S. presence in Saudi Arabia.

When the U.S. launched a second war against Iraq in 2003 but failed to find weapons of mass destruction that Hussein was purported to have, international polls, especially those by the Washington-based Pew Center, charted a massive growth in anti-Bush and anti-American sentiment in Muslim parts of the world — an obvious boon to terrorist recruitment. Even before the war, some cynics had argued that Iraq was targeted to divert attention from the administration's failure to catch Osama bin Laden and stop Al Qaeda terrorism.

Bolder critics hinted that George W. Bush had sought to shift attention away from how his family's ties to the Bin Ladens and to rogue elements in the Middle East had crippled U.S. investigations in the months leading up to 9/11. Sen. Charles E. Schumer (D-N.Y.) complained that even when Congress released the mid-2003 intelligence reports on the origins of the 9/11 attack, the Bush administration heavily redacted a 28-page section dealing with the Saudis and other foreign governments, leading him to conclude, "There seems to be a systematic strategy of coddling and cover-up when it comes to the Saudis."

There is no evidence to suggest that the events of Sept. 11 could have been prevented or discovered ahead of time had someone other than a Bush been president. But there is certainly enough to suggest that the Bush dynasty's many decades of entanglement and money-hunting in the Middle East have created a major conflict of interest that deserves to be part of the 2004 political debate. No previous presidency has had anything remotely similar. Not one. a

 


2004/1/19 13:00
Re: How L. B. J. Killed J. F. K
Dear Ron,
Yes you are right. Most of conspiracy theories are interesting but mostly they are just hope of writers. But still it cached my eyes.

Recently, I finished reading "In Retrospect" by Robert S. McNamara. According to this book, LBJ had made many mistakes like expanding Vietnam War, but did many good things, like establishing civil rights. LBJ often talked about an experience of toilet in petrol station while he, Lady Bird and Zephyr, a black maid traveled together in a limousine from their Texas ranch to Washington. Zephyr couldn't use the toilet, therefore they have to stop at country side.

Kevin Phillips's report about Bush family was more than I imagined. Probably, the role of media is very important to make politics more transparent. I think Kevin Phillips did a good job. Thank you for teaching me.
Best Regards,
Greenwood

 

 


2004/1/27 10:19
COMMERCIAL SPACE FLIGHT
Dear Greenwood,
I met an old friend the other day who'd been associated years ago with Bert Rutan of Scaled Composites - the people who built the Voyager round-the-world airplane. (Also brother of Dick Rutan, the pilot). Rutan and Scaled Composites have made many wild and innovative planes over many years. My friend built the specially modified Nissan 6-cylinder engines which were used by Rutan in an unsuccessful attempt to build a modern propeller-driven racing airplane. The engines (modified Maxima engines) eventually reached an output of over 1000 HP each! The plane crashed while being tested and the financial benefactor lost interest in the project.

My friend told me that Scaled Composites is knee-deep into a project for a space craft. They are shooting for the X-prize which offers $10,000,000 to the first company to make a successful, non-military, 3-passenger space craft which can reach 100 km altitude and return. It's certainly their sort of thing. They have Paul Allen (of MS) as a sponsor, so money should be no problem. (The web site for the X-Prize is: http://www.xprize.org/press/index.html ).

Scaled Composites have just successfully launched and flown their SpaceShipOne. It was carried aloft by their turbojet "White Knight" and broke the sound barrier as planned on Dec 17th. It reached 68,000 feet altitude. There's a write-up about it on their web site: http://www.scaled.com/projects/tierone/index.htm   

There are many photos there and the announcement is under "news". As you'll see the design is typical Rutan - looks like nothing else. Almost all of the other projects are rockets, whereas the Rutan design is a rocket-propelled plane. I think this gives them a big advantage, since they are in much more familiar territory. They are also the first team to have actually flown their vehicle. This year they plan to make a series of flights at increasing duration and altitude, culminating in the 100 km run.

Many countries are competing, but I did not see a Japanese project, which surprised me. One Canadian entry is modeled on the old German V-2 rocket!!
Some entries are very amateurish, but most seem to be well financed and organized.

With best regards,

Ron







2004/1/31 6:24
BIBLE BELT AT WORK
Dear Greenwood,

We have discussed the power of religious fundamentalists in this country. Tod ay there was another example of how things are going. I've attached a story from the LA Times today about the State Superintendent of Education planning to eliminate the word "Evolution" from the State curriculum.

I'm also examining the many ways this country is evolving into a "Banana Republic". I hope to share those thoughts with you when I have found out more.

With best regards,

Ron




THE NATION
The Word 'Evolution' Has Become a Firestorm in Georgia A move to delete it from a proposed high school curriculum is decried by scientists and teachers.
By Ellen Barry
Times Staff Writer

January 30, 2004

ATLANTA ·Georgia's state school superintendent on Thursday defended deleting the word "evolution" from a biology curriculum proposed for high school teachers, calling it "a buzzword that causes a lot of negative reactions."

The plan, which also omits topics such as Charles Darwin's life, fossil evidence and the emergence of single-celled microorganisms, has angered educators. Under the proposed curriculum, Georgia educators would no longer be required to devote much time and effort to teaching evolution.

Superintendent Kathy Cox said the word "evolution" could keep some people from considering the new curriculum. She added that the changes were meant to take pressure off teachers "on the front lines."

If the curriculum is adopted, most teachers will skim over the subject, which remains unwelcome in many parts of the state, educators warned Thursday.

"This is a real infringement on the freedom of teaching, and it has serious implications," said David Bechler, head of the biology department at Valdosta State University.

The state's science curriculum specialist, Stephen Pruitt, said the word "evolution" would not be banned in the classroom. He recalled debates about evolution when he taught science, and said he hoped the new plan would allow students to draw their own conclusions about the evidence for evolution. "I personally believe we are dissecting the theory of evolution to look at the pieces of it," Pruitt said.

By Thursday, almost 1,000 people, including parents, teachers and scientists, had signed an online petition demanding restoration of the omitted sections. Cox said that the department was seeking public comment on the proposed curriculum and that final revisions could be made before the State Board of Education votes on it in May.

A handful of states avoid using the word "evolution" in teaching plans, replacing it with euphemisms such as "biological adaptation" or "change over time." Georgia, however, would be the first state to remove the word "evolution" from teaching plans after including it for years, according to the National Center for Science Education, a California organization that tracks anti-evolutionary teaching.

The revised curriculum was a major initiative for Cox, a Republican elected to the post in 2002. For six months, panels of educators met to fine-tune the new curriculum and agreed to adopt most of the topics recommended by the American Assn. for the Advancement of Science.

But the final version eliminated much detail about the origin of life, including Gregor Mendel's identification of genes, the appearance of primitive life forms 4 billion years ago, and the long-term dynamics of evolution. In its place is a statement listing five "historical scientific models of change" that includes the sole mention of Darwin. The word "evolution," used nine times in the original document, disappears entirely, and is replaced by the phrase "change over time."

Bechler, who participated in developing the curriculum, said he was astonished to discover that the passages had been eliminated. He said cutting the curriculum could seriously hurt the understanding of science.

There are, however, large sections of Georgia where evolution has never been fully accepted.

Susan McKinney, who teaches biology to high school students in Crisp County, said she had never believed Earth could have come into existence without a divine hand. Neither do her students, and neither do her colleagues, said McKinney, who has taught for 26 years.

McKinney said she believed in natural selection, but when her course touched on the fossil record and single-celled organisms believed to be among the first life forms on earth ·information she considers a "tentative hypothesis"  she skims over it, recommending that students study the material independently if they wish.

"I can tell you, being in rural south Georgia, that it's kind of loose where you go and how far you go" in the teaching of evolution, said McKinney. "We don't go all the way down to how we came out of the primordial ooze."

Georgia has lagged behind other states in the teaching of evolution. In a 2000 report, retired physicist Lawrence Lerner classified Georgia among the 13 states that had received an F, failing "so thoroughly to teach evolution as to render their standards totally useless."

Much of the trend can be attributed to social pressure, said Gerald Skoog, former president of the National Science Teachers Assn. Statewide standards can insulate teachers, he said. "Teachers would tell me, 'It offers a shield of protection when I can point to the standards and indicate that evolution needs to be covered,'" Skoog said.

In Atlanta, an area that draws hi-tech workers and out-of-state academics, one scientist admitted his primary reaction was acute embarrassment.

"I hope we don't have to change the word 'chemistry' to 'the movement of molecules across space' next," said John Avise, a genetics professor at the University of Georgia. "I'll have to rewrite a lot of my texts."

If you want other stories on this topic, search the Archives at latimes.com/archives.

 

 


2004/2/16 0:04
Re: BIBLE BELT AT WORK
Dear Ron,

I have been busy in rewriting my home page about introduction of large forest machinery into Japanese hard wood forest. I learned a lot through Internet about forest machinery and their performances. I started this study voluntarily after attending a meeting about forestry held by one of NPO. Now Japanese paper mills are buying chips from USA and amount reaches 85% of total consumption. But our forest is full of matured hard wood. I felt it is a waste of solar energy not using those resources. After finishing writing (only in Japanese), I now came back to normal life. I wish to push our forest owners to adopt such weapons - not mass destruction.

Thank you for your information about COMMERCIAL SPACE FLIGHT. When I was a boy, I wished to become a designer of rocket. But soon I gave up the idea because; it is not a stable business. I reviewed two web sites and felt a lot of amateurism. Any way, large organization like NASA spends a lot of money and fails. Probably, small group can achieve some thing. Mr. Bush launched an ambitious plan to send a man to Mars. I think this is only for November election. After that no body knows.

I had known that the word 'Evolution' was not liked in southern part of US. But I thought it was a story in the past. But it is not. My reaction is that if they don't like such word and prohibit using it, their children may be left far behind from the rest of the world without assistance. And southern state may become poor belt. If it is their hope, let's them do that.

I have received a mail from my daughter's boy friend that he wishes permission from me of marring her. My response is that if it is their decision, what I can say is be happy. They have been sharing some time over years, but in most of the time, they were working separately in Japan and in England. They are determined to continue same life style though.

Tonight, I have seen a very impressive TV program from NHK broadcasting system. It was about Dr. Carlo Urbani. I found an announcement of WHO made just after his death. I attached below.

Best Regards,

Greenwood




Dr. Carlo Urbani of the World Health Organization dies of SARS

29 March 2003

Dr. Carlo Urbani, an expert on communicable diseases, died today of SARS. Dr. Urbani, worked in public health programs in Cambodia, Laos and Viet Nam. He was based in Hanoi, Viet Nam. Dr. Urbani was 46.

Dr. Urbani was the first WHO officer to identify the outbreak of this new disease, in an American businessman who had been admitted to a hospital in Hanoi. Because of his early detection of the disease, global surveillance was heightened and many new cases have been identified and isolated before they infected hospital staff. In Hanoi, the SARS outbreak appears to be
coming under control.

Carlo was a wonderful human being and we are all devastated,·said Pascale Brudon, the World Health Representative in Viet Nam. ?e was very much a doctor, his first goal was to help people. Carlo was the one who very quickly saw that this was something very strange. When people became very concerned in the hospital, he was there everyday, collecting samples, talking to the staff and strengthening infection control procedures.·

Dr. Urbani was married and the father of three children.

Dr. Urbani received his medical degree from the University of Ancona, Italy, and did post-graduate work in malaria and medical parasitology. He was an expert in the parasitic diseases of schoolchildren. He was also a president
of Mecins Sans Fronti'es-Italy.

"Carlo Urbani' death saddens us all deeply at WHO," said Dr. Gro Harlem Brundtland, WHO' Director-General. "His life reminds us again of our true work in public health. Today, we should all pause for a moment and remember the life of this outstanding physician."




Sent: Wednesday, February 18, 2004 5:25 AM
Subject: Re: BIBLE BELT AT WORK
Dear Greenwood,

What good news about your daughter. Prospects look good since they certainly have had the time to get to know each other very well. In the modern world careers can often introduce new considerations which were not a factor in the male-dominated world we grew up in. Over the last 30 years or so, women's careers have become important as well as their husband's. One of my wife's nieces is a very highly paid anesthesiologist; although her husband is a qualified lawyer, he has never practiced. Before he met her he was only employed in casual ways. Now they are quite happy with him staying at home with their children - one from a previous marriage and twins due to be born this year. I hope your daughter and her husband can work out their complicated life.

Georgia has cancelled its revision to the state education code. There was just too much outcry and ridicule from every side. However, that was just the most blatant example of how education is being degraded in the US. The State of Oregon has had to make deep cuts in their education budget, closing many schools and shortening the school year. So bad was the budget squeeze that the legislature actually passed a tax increase to prevent further cuts. The "low tax" fanatics in the state immediately put a proposition on the ballot to cancel the tax increase. Last month the proposition passed easily, so Oregon's schools will be savagely cut next year.

On the national scale things are no better. Many high-tech companies claim that they are unable to find qualified Americans for scientific and engineering jobs. They are pushing for more Visas to be issued to technical people from other countries. This is not new, of course, but the numbers are rising rapidly. The problem is not hard to find - it comes down to our dwindling education system. In 1999, for example the number of bachelor-level engineering degrees was 61,000 in the US, 103,000 in Japan, 134,000 in Europe and 195,000 in China. (I'm sure India also had many, but have no data). An even more revealing statistic is that, of US masters degrees in engineering, 43% were awarded to foreign-born students. For doctorates the % was 54! As we discussed years ago, the great majority of Fluor's technical experts are foreign born.

I cannot think of a more short-sighted way to run a big country.

Environmentalists, here will be glad to hear of a proposal to reduce felling of US trees. The Bush administration has just pushed through a policy which will greatly increase the cutting of the remaining old-growth timber here. From you letter I got the impression that no logging is being done in Japan. Is that a correct deduction? Also, I'm not quite clear on the relationship between logging mature hardwoods and importing chips - which I assume are being used to make paper products. Mature hardwoods are of immense value for making houses, fine wooden furniture, etc.

To me the key is to harvest the forests in a sustainable way and without destroying the environment.

I've just been visiting your updated website. As usual It is full of interesting things. I'm especially intrigued by your tabulation of power generation costs. When I've digested it I'll get back to you.

With best regards,

Ron





2004/2/18 13:14
Forestly
Dear Ron,

Thank you for your warm acknowledgment. They are having a lot of fun trying to navigate all the paperwork they have to provide for the marriage to take place!

After the World War II, Japanese government asked forest owners to cut natural hard wood forest and plant softwood like cedar (a cryptomeria). Because cedar grows faster than hard wood and may help reconstruction of houses. But soon, builders found imported logs and chips are more cost competitive. As a consequence, forest owners lost interest in this business and now most of the Japanese forest is accumulating wood resources. It looks like a rain forest now. Japan is now importing 85% of chips now mainly from North America. But Japanese forest owner continued using hand held engine saw for felling and they could not use powerful grappel skidder for taking log out of the forest. Some times helicopter is used. There are two reasons of not using big machinery. Firstly, steep terrain, secondly, fragmented ownership of the land. On the other side of Pacific Ocean, Forest machinery like feller buncher, harvester, grappel skidder are commonly used. Ironically, base machines are earthmoving machines like excavators exported from Japan.

I have made a cash flow analysis of forestry using machinery in Japanese forest and found very competitive. My study assumes sustainable level of felling assuming natural growth rate of 3.2 green ton / ha/ year. This figure is a very conservative figure of hard wood. I actually confirmed this figure personally by reviewing aerial photos taken periodically over 50 years of the forest just behind my house. Normally 10 green ton /ha/ year is reported in US and in Australia. But those are the figures of fast growing wood. To overcome obstacles of fragmented owner ship, I am proposing a king of trust organization sponsored by local government. For overcoming harsh terrain, our machinery industry in Japan is eager to help at any time. Now my page is listed at 8th page from the top of 1840 pages in Yahoo Japan. If I can find time, I will translate it into English. The page you mentioned "Cost of Various Solar Power" was prepared after my study on "Hard wood power generation".

Best Regards,
Greenwood

 


2004/2/23 10:15
SOLAR POWER
Dear Greenwood,

I've managed to dig into your data and have a few questions and comments.

1) I cannot understand your fifth entry "Time Averaged Emission....)(%). For example, the solar draft power at 12 hours per day and 80% weather factor would appear to be 0.5 x 0.8 = 0.4, or 40%. You list 20%.

2) Comparing annual power generation with nominal output to calculate operating hours per year I get only 1967 hours for wind power, or about 25% of the time. This seems low if one assumes these plants would be built where the wind is strong and steady. The solar draft power also seems low at only 1600 hours.

3) I'm not familiar with costs for the first three power systems, but do have some data on wind power. 2002 world installation was about 7 GW at a cost of about 6.8 Billion Euros (or about 1000 euros / kW). In the same time frame, the US American Wind Energy Association gave an installed cost of about $1000 / kW - close to the Euro figure since the two currencies were about equal then.

A few years ago the US DOE estimated the total cost of wind power between 3 and 5 cents / kWh, expecting costs to continue to decline until leveling off at 1.5 to 3 cents by 2015. Your 13.1 yen figure per kWh is about equivalent to $0.12. Perhaps that represents economic costs in Japan, but may be a bit high.

4) Your figures for conventional power seem to be on target. Some of my correspondent retired engineers are big fans of nuclear power and would endorse your ranking, I am sure. You mention post treatment cost, but I wonder what that includes. As you know nuclear waste disposal is very controversial, especially in the US. We still have been unable to agree on any "permanent" solution and are still storing wastes in "temporary" pools at the power stations. I think political, not economic factors will decide the fate of nuclear power.

Your analysis is something which we very seldom see. Most numbers in the public domain are little better than propaganda for their authors. That makes the need even larger for your type of analysis. I'd appreciate your thoughts on my comments. With your permission, I'd like to bounce some of your data off my friends with a common interest in energy matters; I'd pass along their comments and ideas too.

With best regards,

Ron

 

 

Sent: Wednesday, February 25, 2004 9:36 PM
Subject: Re: SOLAR POWER
Dear Ron,
I was pleased to receive your questions about my study on various solar energy system. I planned to answer after finishing revisions on my old pages about wood gassification systems. Because, recently, I found a design manual published by FAO of United Nations and the concept of "Hearth Load" could help to solve my technical difficulties.

So please wait a while. The reason I am writing now this mail is that I received a mail from my old friend who is now helping Chyoda's big Methanol project in Saudi Arabia. When he tried to open my page, he received following massages.

Access to the requested URL is not allowed!

Please, fill out the form below if you believe the requested page should not be blocked:

Form for URL unblocking request

Please, send other sites you feel should be blocked using the following form:

Blocking Request Form

I was a bit surprised and started checking my English pages and found following my mail to you. A red colored part might irritated inspector of Saudi Government. How do you think. It might be appropriate to delete this sentence.
Greenwood

 

 

2004/2/27 8:39
Re: SOLAR POWER
Dear Greenwood,

I also greatly enjoy reading the columnists in the NYT. I don't always agree, but find many valuable things to think about. Re-reading Friedman's column, which is so reasonable, only confirms my suspicion that George Bush planned to invade Iraq from the beginning and all the posturing about MWD and going to the UN was just window dressing. I've just started reading a book about Iraq "Secrets and Lies" by Dilip Hiro, a London-based journalist, writer and commentator. Although a bit one-sided, it provides a balancing view for the slanted news we so often see on television here. It's probably much more representative of International Opinion.

President Bush's position has weakened more that would be expected during the Democratic Party nomination campaigns. On the domestic front the news from the economy is mixed; unemployment is still high and jobs are still not being generated as fast as new workers join the workforce. Wall Street itself is under pressure. Big gains in the Technical Sector have been reversed lately, getting back almost to the level at the beginning of the year. Many conservative people are finally noticing the ballooning federal deficit. Alan Greenspan recently said that it will be necessary to reduce the level of social security payments in order to make up for Bush's tax cuts. This is an explosive topic and will not help Bush at all.

Iraq is also starting to become a liability for Bush. The attacks are still at a constant high level. The capture of Saddam helped him for a short time, but that has faded. Rumors have it that the Pakistanis will turn over Osama bin Laden this summer to help the Bush re-election campaign. There is no way to know anything about what they are planning.

Prospects for Iraq seem to be getting worse. Among possible outcomes, Civil War or a Fundamentalist Muslim Government look like the most likely. Chances for a genuine democracy are slim. There have been reports of more discussion among Arabs about democracy, but they have done this many times before without anything changing.

I read good news about Japan in last weeks' Economist (Feb 14-20). Not only has corporate debt dropped steeply, but they have high praise for Toshihiko Fukui, new governor of the BOJ. Without naming Paul Krugman, they say that Fukui has "printed a lot of money" and has, in effect, set an inflation target. "Mr. Fukui is at last changing deflationary expectations". They look for continuing improvement in your economy.

I couldn't find the red colored parts in your home page, but agree that the S. Arabians could be objecting to some of the jokes. On the other hand, they may well have found some of the political comments objectionable too. You might try removing the sentence and then asking them via their website if that solves the problem. The final section of their message is most alarming of all. Any site that anyone objects to could be threatened - just imagine if some of the US religious fundamentalists were able to "turn in" websites they didn't like!

A number of repressive governments are now trying to control the web. China seems to be getting very aggressive in that regard. I hope that is because the web is really threatening them with their populations. On the other hand, if they succeed, then repression will get worse and may spread to others.

With best regards,

Ron

 

 


2004/2/27 2:40
Re: SOLAR POWER
Dear Ron,
I added the definition for each items. Please see revised page. I think it is self explanatory. For annual power generation capacity of windturbine, I used lower value of German manufactures sample figures. Those figures change greatly depending on the location. Probably, I can use better figures. Post treatment cost include all demolishing and "permanent" solution cost of used nuclear power plant. You can pass this table to your friend.

By the way, I found many words "sex" in jokes received from you. I think Saudi is using standard automatic blocking software based on key word such as "sex" etc.
Best Regards,
Greenwood



2004/3/25 13:12
FEYNMAN'S LOST LECTURE
Dear Greenwood,

I've just enjoyed a short book which I came across by accident. It features the guest lecture given by the famous physicist, Richard Feynman, to a freshman physics class at Caltech in 1964. He set out to demonstrate Newton's famous analysis of Kepler's laws of planetary motion - using only high school geometry.

I came across the book while looking for another book by the same authors - David and Judith Goodstein. I didn't find the book I was looking for, but noticed the Feynman book.

The history is interesting. Feynman gave the introductory physics courses at Caltech in 1961 - 2. These have been preserved and published. The lost lecture was given a couple of years later - as a guest of the professor who had taken over the freshman classes. He was a riveting, dramatic lecturer which you can tell because the tape recording of his lecture is packaged with the book. However, the drawings on the blackboard were not preserved and it proved extremely difficult to reproduce the lecture from the sound recording.

The Goodsteins finally accomplished it on a cruise ship vacation. David is vice provost and professor at Caltech, his wife is registrar and archivist there.

It's been 50 years since I worked out complicated geometry. However I always enjoyed it - so I couldn't resist the opportunity. Once started, I couldn't put the book down. An absolutely virtuoso piece of work. Feynman's character comes through very clearly. At one point he admitted he couldn't follow Newton's demonstration because it involved many properties of conic sections, which were commonplace in Newton's time, but since replaced by calculus. "So", Feynman said "I cooked up another one". He was born in New York and always kept a very strong NY accent - this comes through very strongly in the recording. It's easy to see why he became so famous (he also demonstrated the reason why the Space Shuttle failed in 1986 - by putting a bit of gasket into a glass of ice water - and showed that it had lost it's elasticity - hence the loss of the shuttle).

If you are interested in brilliant geometrical proofs I recommend the book without reservation. A wonderful tribute to a great man.

Ron



2004/3/25 21:49
Re: FEYNMAN'S LOST LECTURE
Dear Ron,
You have reminded me a happy time when I had read several books about Richard Feynman. I would find your recommended book in Internet and would make order. Still his text books are sold in Japan but hesitate to buy them.

In the past few weeks, I was busy in making Reverse engineering of an Australian Solar Tower Technology by Solar Mission Technologies. I almost finished it and now preparing a report for my HP. Japanese portion will be completed tonight. Brief English translation may follow soon. I also tested several ideas to improve their performance and found performance could be improved a bit but does not reach the level of oil fired generation plant.

Today, I explained preliminary figures to a meeting held in a civil engineering firm and recommended them to follow up this technology.
Best Regards,
Greenwood


 

Wednesday, March 31, 2004 12:31 AM
Subject: Solar Tower
Dear Ron,
I have translated my analysis of Solar Tower as attached.

Based on engineering data available for me, I found that Australian project is a bit optimistic. But probably the know what I don't know.  I still don't like to make it public, because Australians are not happy to see it. And I have some idea to improve it.
Best regards,
Greenwood

 


2004/4/3 11:47
Re: Solar Tower
Dear Greenwood,

Thank you for sending me the link to your solar tower analysis. As you point out, the heat sink temperature assumption is crucial. In the Prototype data, it was not clear to me which were the actual results and which were from your reverse engineering. If real data is available there would be a good basis for assumptions. Have they published anything of substance?

I note that you have increased your estimate of yen/kWh to 20 from 13. As I commented last time, even 13 yen / kWh looks pretty high. (World wide installations of wind turbines in 2002 had about 7 GW for about 7 billion Euros - about 1000 Euros per kW, compared with your estimate of 330,000 yen or 2500 Euros per kW).

As you say "I have some idea to improve it." It needs quite a bit of improvement to match existing wind power technology.

There have been some interesting developments going on with yen / dollar relationships. Rumors have it that the BOJ has been ending it's very large $ purchases. Yesterday the yen set a 4-year high against the $, rising from about 112 to less than 104 / $. The Euro too has been on the rise lately.

We've also seen a few reports on the economic recovery in Japan. It looks like the BOJ is finally listening to Paul Krugman and getting results.

I have a feeling that the financial world will be quite turbulent this year and it could have a major impact on our Presidential election. Already large majorities here see the administration as favoring corporations over ordinary people. Month-by-month economic data here do seem to be slowly improving, but the long term prospects are very much in doubt.

With best regards,

Ron




2004/4/3 17:30
Re: Solar Tower
Dear Ron,
Thank you for your comments on my study. In the very beginning, I estimated 13 yen/kWh. But after reviewing night time stoppage, I concluded 20 yen/kWh would be more realistic figures for Solar Tower technology. I still think this is cheaper than Solar cell but higher than the cost of conventional wind farm of around 10 yen/kWh. Based on my new idea, I found that I can reduce the cost down to 63% of 20 yen/kWh but still a bit higher than current cost structure. In any case, after investigating possibility of patent application, we wish to publish our idea in an appropriate technical paper. I am waiting civil engineer's input in my study.

Yes as you point out, I understand our new leader in BOJ is following Paul Krugman's recommendation. I was against manipulating yen exchange rate by buying $ because it finally crash and cause turbulent situations. If our government stopped buying $ it would be a good sign.
Best regards,

Greenwood

 


2004/4/7 9:06
Asia's Stockpiles of Dollars Pose U.S. Economic Risks This story was sent to you by: Ron Cooper

Dear Greenwood,
It seems that others share our concerns about buying dollars.

Ron

--------------------
Asia's Stockpiles of Dollars Pose U.S. Economic Risks
--------------------

By Tyler Marshall
Times Staff Writer

April 6 2004

HONG KONG — A massive buildup of U.S. dollars held by Japan, China and other Asian countries is fueling increasing unease among analysts and policymakers, who fear it poses risks to the fragile American economic recovery and global financial stability.

The complete article can be viewed at:

http://www.latimes.com/la-fi-dollar6apr06,1,3666195.story

Visit Latimes.com at http://www.latimes.com





2004/4/10 12:15
IRAQ ABDUCTIONS
Dear Greenwood,

It seems the disastrous US invasion of Iraq continues to harm innocent people. The abduction and threatened burning alive of the Japanese civilians is part of the steady escalation of violence there which the US military seems unable to stop. I apologize for our part of this terrible act and for our completely inept handling of the whole Iraq occupation.

More and more George Bush's administration is coming under heavy criticism here. A very large part of that is coming from former members of that administration. Public opinion is slowly but steadily turning against Bush.

The problem is what to do about the situation. Withdrawal would probably result in a civil war. Many, myself included, have criticized the govt. for trying to occupy the country with too few troops. Even the Pentagon is now "evaluating" how more could be provided. Dismantling the Iraqi army and
police was another blunder our military made.

I'm afraid our hubris has brought us to over-reach and the results could be very serious. All the previous world empires have failed in that way; the US empire looks like doing the same. The only difference is that we seem to be doing it much more quickly.

I hope that the crisis does not cause too much destabilization in Japan - just when the economy begins to look better.

With best regards,

Ron

 


2004/4/13 15:35
Re: IRAQ ABDUCTIONS
Dear Ron,
I appreciate your kind word on the status of Japanese civilians in Iraq. In spite of media's reaction on the incidents, most of Japanese think that this is a good chance to know the reality of the world politics. Those 3 young men and women had grown up in a complete peace under US strong power. Now, they and most of innocent Japanese are learning that fading US power mean a chaos. From now on, all of us are responsible for keeping our peace and security.

Now, I am thinking the importance of leadership. It is a sad reality to find that Mr. George Bush is not a capable man for the important Job. All of his failures were recorded as a history of latter half of the ancient Roman History.
Best regard,
Greenwood


 


2004/4/24 7:50
DIGITAL CAMERA
Dear Greenwood,

After many delays, and bending my self-imposed price limit, I've bought my digital camera. It's a Pentax Optio - their line of very small cameras.
The model is the S40, which I believe is new. The size is really compact - only 89x58.5x25.5mm, and 177g including batteries and memory card. It is easy to slip into a pocket without making a bulge.

The photo specs also meet or exceed my original list. The lens is f/2.6 to f/4.8, 5.8 to 17.4 mm focal length, equivalent to 35 - 100 mm focal length in 35 mm cameras. They don't list shutter speed, but I've seen a range from 4 seconds to 1/1000 sec. in the display.

It has 4 M.Pixels, a 3:1 optical zoom and uses two, AA batteries (they provide 4, 1800mAh Ni-Metal Hydride rechargeable batteries and a charger). The camera came with an internal 11MB memory and a 64 MB SD Memory card. At a moderate quality level this card is good for about 50 shots, but I will be getting more and larger cards. There are 5 choices of number of M.pixels - 4, 3.1, 1.9, 0.8 and 0.3. Files can be compressed to any of three levels, giving a range of 3:1 of files size for a given number of pixels.

Like most digital cameras it has a multitude of options for picture taking from "point and shoot" to specialized like back-lit and snow scenes. It'll also allow multiple exposures, panoramas and movies. There is even a "tape recorder" mode which can record an hour of sound. As you can guess, I'm still in the early stages of exploring all these things.

One of the things that lead me to buy this camera was a review in a photography magazine which credited an earlier version with their best-ever test for color accuracy. It comes with a very good software package which I've loaded on my PC. It gives you a very easy way of downloading pictures, setting up classification systems and making prints. So good has been the camera's color and tone reproduction I find I've not had to use any adjustment - they look good even when printed straight from the camera. I'm enclosing a cropped picture of an Amaryllis flower which is at its glorious peak right now.

cropped.jpg (3565)
cropped picture of an Amaryllis

All-in-all it looks like being a very good go-anywhere camera, which fits my needs. I hope to be taking pictures that would be of interest and will send them from time to time.

Best regards,

Ron

 


2004/4/24 14:09
Re: DIGITAL CAMERA
Dear Ron,
It sounds great. I think your selection criteria, based on color accuracy is a wise decision.

I am not satisfied with my Sony DSC-F505V camera, as it has poor color quality. I found my old Victor GC-S1 had a far superior color quality. Only problem for Victor was a short battery life. I am sure you soon wish to buy larger memory card.

Unfortunately, I could not receive your photo because it has jpg suffix. Due to recent problem of receiving many fouled mails, now, all incoming mails are double checked by a provider and by Norton Antivirus installed on my PC. I appreciate you pasting jpg images on Word or Excel.

You can also enjoy editing video with BGM and distribute your products by CD-R.
Best Regards,
Greenwood

 

 

Sunday, April 25, 2004 9:28 AM

Re: DIGITAL CAMERA

Dear Ron,

Although the linkage to the attached jpg image was cut by Norton Antivirus, I found still I can open your attached photo. It is not necessary to resend it pasted on Word. I agree the Pentax Optio has good color accuracy.

Attached photo was taken by conventional camera and reported in Japan's largest New Paper, Yomiuri yesterday. A man with yellow T-shirts is me. I took it from their site. I found color of conventional film is more than actual color.

wind.jpg (4825)

A man with yellow T-shirts

Best regards,

Greenwood

 

 

Sent: Sunday, May 02, 2004 11:45 PM
Subject: Re: FEYNMAN'S LOST LECTURE
Dear Ron,
How is your digital camera working? Now, I have some time to spare for Feynmans's book and CD, I would like to confirm the definite book. Following is the one I found in Amazon. Feynman's Lost Lecture: The Motion of Planets Around the Sun by David Goodstein, Judith Goodstein

I finished compiling our recent mails. Please confirm if I can keep this page?

By the way, I was surprised to hear that my daughter showed up live as one of commentators in TV with a Chairman of the BOJ yesterday. Topics was what is his next move? I have seen him talking casually, but soon switched off and returned brushing up a paper for asking financial support to our ministry of industry for wood gasification project. According to my daughter, it seems that Mr. Fukui spoke a lot and tolled nothing on his next move.

Regards,
Greenwood

 

 


2004/5/6 9:52
Re: FEYNMAN'S LOST LECTURE
Dear Greenwood,
Yes, that is the book. I'm sure you'll have fun.
By all means go ahead with this page in your compilation.

Experimentation with the digital camera is proceeding very happily. Bit-by-bit I'm learning the important things I need to know. This last weekend was our annual home brew beer festival in a town about an hour and a half drive south of here. As usual there were many fine beers available from many clubs. Also as usual, our club, the Strand Brewers, had some of the best (at least we thought so).

I pondered whether to take the new camera but decided there was just too much risk. Physical risk to the camera and picture risk if I messed up and
missed good shots. So, once again, I used my old, old point and shoot camera. I now have the pictures back and will send a few samples later.

Bankers seem to be same the world over. Alan Greenspan has generated a whole industry here devoted to analyzing what he says to turn it into English! I expect there is a similar industry in Japan devoted to translating Mr. Fukui. It sounds as though your daughter is making good progress in her career.

We have finally chosen our (or rather Connie's) new car. She agonized a long time between the Toyota Avalon, which she really liked and the Toyota
Prius on environmental grounds. In the end she went with the Avalon. Looking at details in the specifications I believe that Avalon and the Camry are mechanically almost identical. For example both have exactly the same wheelbase, engines, etc. While the Avalon looks much bigger it actually is 3 cm lower although 4 cm wider. The biggest difference I see is in legroom in the back seat, almost 6 cm better. Fuel consumption is actually 4% better than a comparable Camry, although the Cd is the same. Perhaps the gearing is higher in the Avalon (the brochures give no data on
gear ratios).

Now we wait while the model we specified is manufactured. It'll be ready about 4 months from now - buying it through the Toyota employees special discount plan since my son Bill works for them. When I have news I'll let you know how that all works out.

With my best regards,

Ron

 

 

2004/5/8 8:23
PICTURES FROM HOMEBREW BEER FESTIVAL
Dear Greenwood.

As promised, here are a few pictures from our festival in Temecula.
Next shows our bar, with 19 taps! Members of the Strand Brewers are on duty with me added at left and two other members wearing the bright red tee shirts we got for this year's event. My shirt is not quite readable, but features the "Beeriodic Table". Seemingly traditional elements are replaced with beer equivalents. For example Al is Altbier, He is Helles and my favorite (new) element ESB (Extra Special Bitter).

ron.gif (28180 ???)

Next is my family. From the left Peter, Sally (Bill's wife), Bill and Rita (Peter's wife).

family.gif (28723 ???)

I hope they get through OK, they total about 500 K.

 

 


2004/5/8 11:58
Re: PICTURES FROM HOMEBREW BEER FESTIVAL

Dear Ron,
Yes I received your photo's. The festival in Temecula seemed quite a major event. The efforts of organizer might be substantial. Do you lease 19 taps equipment from vendor or does your club keep the equipment?

The idea of "Beeriodic Table" is very smart!. Probably, you can invent another Xxxiodic Table.

Anyway, I selected 2 photos, squeezed the size and compiled in our mail page.

I know Camry but Avalon is not familiar. Toyota sells their car in different name in Japan. I cheeked Toyota's Japanese home page and found Camry and then Avalon in US Toyota. As you pointed out, Avalon looks wide and gives an image of prestigious car. Probably, it is a good buy.

Mitsubish Motor is a looser in Automobil industry. I wonder what they are doing.

I have made a order to Amazone. Adding CD to the book is a good idea.
Best Regards,
Greenwood

 


2004/5/21 5:38
IRAQ
Dear Greenwood,

The news from Iraq has been so bad that I've not had the heart to write. Badly as I felt about Bush's war earlier, the news from Abu Ghraib has stunned me along with most other Americans. Every day brings new revelations - mostly worse and worse.

I believe that our nation is disgraced and we are playing right into the hands of Al Qaeda. Recruiting by Osama must be at an all-time high. I saw a lapel pin the other day calling Bush a war criminal. Perhaps that is true - we shall see what else comes out. It seems that we have alienated just about every country in the world (except Israel, of course). An American friend, who is living in Germany, writes that he certainly will vote in the US election next fall..."but I intend to do my part to remove that lunatic from the White House. I don't know which is worse - driving the country towards bankruptcy or creating a worldwide hatred of Americans and our government. It's equally mystifying and depressing, but due to our greed and gluttony, enormous arrogance, and apparent disregard for what the rest of the world thinks (UN, Iraq, Kyoto...) it seems that America is fast becoming the most despised country on the planet, and to make matters worse, we don't really seem to care." To his list one now has to add the Geneva Convention on the treatment of prisoners of war.

Already, with US Generals arguing in front of Senate hearings about who was in charge at the prison, it is clear that our operation in Iraq (after the initial success) has been completely incompetent. Nobody seems to be in charge. Finally, Donald Rumsfeld accepted responsibility, but will not step down like any honest, honorable man would do. Criticism is not confined to Democrats. Many Republicans here are also becoming critical of Bush and his military. John McCain is probably well known to you, but there are several other prominent Republican Senators who are equally critical.

As the bad news continues to come out, opinion here is changing. Bush's approval is now well below 50%, which is very significant at this time in an election year.

As I think you know, I've spent many years working in Amnesty International on behalf of human rights, worldwide. Up until the disastrous occupation of Iraq, this country and it's allies have always had a certain moral standing allowing them to criticize abusers of human rights - for example, Saddam Hussein. One of the worst effects of Bush's war is that this standing is a thing of the past. In future, dictators like him will be able to scoff at any criticism - pointing out the US hypocrisy about "spreading Democracy" while killing and abusing thousands of innocent people. I fear that respect for human rights has been damaged severely by our "lunatic" in Washington. I just hope enough Americans share my opinion in November's election.

With deepest regrets,

Ron

 


2004/5/23 1:26
Re: IRAQ
Dear Ron,

I have just finished reading a French book "Deux heures de lucidite" by Noam Chomsky and two French Journalists. As you may know Noam Chomsky is a famous American linguist and Professor of MIT. I was very impressed by his clear vision on every day political and social issues, I wished to know his reaction on Iraq invasion as the discussion among three gentleman was taken place before 9/11.

I opened Znet where I can find his opinion and found the latest BBC Interview by Noam Chomsky and Jeremy Paxman held on May 21, 2004

It start like:

"If George Bush were to be judged by the standards of the Nuremberg Tribunals, he'd be hanged. So too, mind you, would every single American President since the end of the second world war, including Jimmy Carter.

The suggestion comes from the American linguist Noam Chomsky. His latest attack on the way his country behaves in the world is called Hegemony or Survival, America's Quest for Global Dominance.

Jeremy Paxman met him at the British Museum, where they talked in the Assyrian Galleries. He asked him whether he was suggesting there was nothing new in the so-called Bush Doctrine. " --------

Chomsky's view is exactly same as the message on lapel pin you have mentioned. After reading "Deux heures de lucidite" I can say that most of innocent American citizens were brain washed by propaganda who actually controls American state and supported Mr. Bush who is just a puppet of those
who actually have power.

Media is under control of power, they cannot help America. Only those who think on their own can rescue America and world. I think the lapel pin you mentioned is a good sign. Probably we can have a hope.

You can find more article of Chomsky in

http://www.zmag.org/weluser.htm

Now "Feynmann's Lost Lecture" is in my hand. I heard his vice and found clear enough to understand. After finishing a bit of work on Artificial wind power, I wish to sit and listen his words.

Thank you for "QUALIFICATION TEST" . I found the joke was very smart and redistributed it to my friends. By the way, Anderson Consulting had disapeared from the market, wasn't it? (Engish Jokes Serial No.127)

Best Regards,

Greenwood



2004/5/27 9:52
Fw: BREWERS! Brew on Japanese TV this Sunday! State Fair Deadline! and more!
Dear Greenwood,

I thought you'd enjoy seeing this notice from another of our local homebrew clubs. With credit to Dashiell Hammett, they call themselves the "Maltose Falcons". They are the oldest club in LA by a wide margin having been in existence for about 30 years. (The Home Beer/Wine/Cheesemaking Shop is associated with the club).

Perhaps you can keep an eye open to catch the broadcast on NHK. As you can see from the notices, our local brew scene is very active.

I continue to brew and was lucky enough to win a first prize for a Strong Scotch Ale at the Maltose Falcons' last competition earlier this month.

With best regards,

Ron


 


2004/5/30 21:36
Re: BREWERS! Brew on Japanese TV this Sunday! State Fair Deadline! and more!
Dear Ron,

I understand that NHK is scheduled to take video recording of Home Brewing on May 30th. I will keep an eye on TV programs for coming days.

It seems that you are a qualified brewer. Still in Japan, Home Brewing is not common. Probably, this is why NHK had an interest on your culture of home brewing. I always enjoy NHK programs because they provide a quality programs like BBC.
Best Regards,
Greenwood


 


2004/6/3 12:23
VACATION IN 2004
Dear Greenwood,

We have suddenly chosen a vacation plan for 2004. A friend of Connie came up with a discounted cruise trip in Europe in July / August. After some prodding by the friend and me, Connie has agreed to it. (As the years go by she has found travel to be more and more annoying). The cruise will minimize luggage handling (one big objection).

The cruise will be in the Baltic. We fly to London for a few days before and after the cruise. It's starting point is Dover and the first stop is in northern Germany with a trip to Berlin. Then we go to Tallinn in Estonia, St.Petersburg, Helsinki, Stockholm and Copenhagen and back to Dover, London and home). We've been to Stockholm and Copenhagen before, during our honeymoon nearly 40 years ago, but the others will be first visits). We leave about the 20th of July and return about 7 August. The exact schedule will depend on which airline discount fares are available. Let us hope the weather cooperates.

I'm taking both the new, digital camera and my trusty 35mm SLR. (Don't quite trust the digital 100% yet - I'm still learning it and the 35mm gives me many more options for serious picture-taking).

We're also knee deep in travel books - for the cruise destinations and for London. It's hard to believe, but I've not spent any serious time in London in almost 15 years - when I was there on assignment for Fluor.

I wonder what plans you have for this year. I'm afraid the sudden appearance of this trip has prevented us from seeing if we could get together - second year in a row. We hope our destination will be a safe one, but I do not expect many Europeans to feel well disposed to our administration. Perhaps we should all wear Kerry badges.

With best regards,

Ron


Friday, June 04, 2004 8:24 PM
Subject: Re: VACATION IN 2004

Dear Ron,
It sounds great. Estonia and St.Petersburg is my dream land. I have never been to Berlin too. I understand cruise trip could minimize luggage handling and kind for your wife. Probably, I have to select such trip after 75 years old if only I survived. Before that, I would rather hire a bare boat and travel along canal in Europe as I have done in The Themes in 1973. Last year, we considered to stay in France. But due to two big change in our family affair, we decided to stay home this year. Firstly, I have to financially support my son in his starting his own family this year, Secondly, we may travel to England if my daughter marry with a English boy. We do not know when, because my daughter is still struggling with paper work.

Probably I can meet you some time next year in US, because my bike friends are thinking to revisit US and continue unfinished touring along Route 66. I expect from you many beautiful digital photos of Baltic cruise.
Best regards,
Greenwood

 

 

 


2004/6/10 7:10
Re: VACATION IN 2004 & CALIF. CEO'S SALARIES
Dear Greenwood,

This seems to be your family's time to go through big changes. We still have no word on grandchildren, but there have been some discussions which are encouraging. We shall see!

It would be great to see you and your club again next year. I hope the trip works out. As before, I'd recommend Spring or Fall to avoid extreme weather.

Arrangements are almost complete for our trip, with airlines, cruise ship and hotels all booked. Going in July/Aug definitely makes it difficult, since we are at the peak season.

The LA Times has just published it's two article analysis of salaries for CEO's of CA's biggest 100 companies. The insanity of the size of their payments continues and increases. Last year was a "bad" one for them - the median raise was "only" 5%, down from 11% last year. Steve Jobs of Apple remains on top - at $75 million.

The Times also did a little editorializing and quotes some other opinion. One startling fact, of which I was not aware, is that shareholder votes are only advisory. If 99 of 100 shareholders vote against management, the other 1 wins! I especially enjoyed some of the "explanations" given for big raises.

Close to home, Fluor's CEO, Alan Boeckmann (who I once knew as an EE) got 45% to $7 million, even though "Fluor profit and revenue fell last year, but its shares rose about 10%. Lew Smith, vice president of human resources, said Boeckmann was a relatively new CEO and the board was "adjusting his pay upward as he gets more experience."" I wonder how Fluor's new grad. engineers feel about their own rewards for experience growth (that's if we've hired any) - all I've been hearing of are layoffs.

It's clear the old "Glass Ceiling" for women has gone. CEO Margaret Whitman of EBay not only got a 163% raise to $42 Mill., but her "package equaled nearly 10% of the Internet auctioneer's profit".

Champion in the percent section was one Wilfred L. Corrigan of LSI Logic. While only getting $5 Mill. it represented a raise of 560%. The reasoning is worth quoting "The company posted a $309-million loss in 2003, compared with a $292-million loss the year before. Revenue was down about 7%. Despite the poor profit and revenue numbers, LSI spokesman Kevin Brett said Corrigan deserved a raise after voluntarily cutting his pay in 2001 and freezing compensation in 2002. And LSI shares rose 35% in 2003". I wish Brett had had a say in my raises after I screwed up.

If you'd like to look at the gory details they're in a double article at: http://www.latimes.com/business/la-fi-execpay6jun06,1,1879883.story and at:
http://www.latimes.com/business/la-fi-perks6jun06,1,5779852.story

Happy reading,

Ron



Tuesday, June 22, 2004 11:35 AM

Space Ship 1

Dear Ron,

Have you started to Baltic cruise? I wish both of you a happy cruise.

My PC has gone. Probably, FAT was destroyed. I am now using wife's machine.

Some of our mails not compiled in the web site have been lost too. I appreciate you to send them back to me when I am ready after acquiring my new PC.  Before making such decision, I have to complete preparing a material for a presentation to be made next week in Asia University. The subject is "Green Power". I would like to talk about "Hardwood Power Generation" and "artificial wind power".

Yesterday, largest historical typhoon in June has hit Japan and paralyzed public transportation systems. Probably due to global warming, we are finding bigger atmospheric turbulence every year.

In those days, I was busy in cleaning my house and garden for hospitalizing parent of my son's wife. In my case, instead of refurbishing, I only cleaned widows, walls and doors used over 25 years.

Japanese media are reporting successful flight of Space Ship1 sponsored by Paul Allen. Good news.
Best regards,

Greenwood

 


Tuesday, June 22, 2004 6:09 PM

Re: Space Ship 1

Dear Ron,
Sorry for using wrong word. I should use "hosting" instead of "hospitalizing". It was the first occasion of their visiting our house.

My speech will be made before Chinese students and staffs of branch offices of Ministry of Foreign Affairs. It may be a good chance for young generation to know about future energy problem. Rising China may be a center for such concerns.

We are going to visit Hokkaido in the middle of July. We fly to Hokkaido and use rented car.
Best Regards,
Greenwood

 

 


Wednesday, June 23, 2004 6:20 AM

Re: Space Ship 1

Dear Greenwood,

Thank you for noticing the flight of Space Ship #1.  I met the Rutan brothers years ago when a friend of mine was working with them on a modern piston-engined racing aircraft (he was developing the two engines - based on his successful Nissan V-6 car racing engine).  That effort was not successful.  They had many teething problems - mostly with the engines - the plane eventually crashed and the sponsor lost interest.  Rutan's airframe design was very innovative and ingenious. Like the White Knight 'plane which boosted the Space Ship to a high altitude, his racer also had twin booms and looked like a miniature version of the WW II Lightning airplane.

Today's paper here has a long, front page article about the flight and about Rutan and his company, Scaled Composites.  Bert Rutan is quoted as being very confidant that his plane will win the X-prize.  Last time I checked the other competitors were very far behind.

Loss of FAT strikes terror into every PC owner!  As you know I had to buy a new PC last year, with great loss of data.  I also purchased Norton's "Ghost" as part of their System works.  That is claimed to be able to reconstitute the whole hard drive if it is lost.  I hope I never have to find out if it works.  I do back the disk up every few months, though.  These days there seem to be many companies which claim to be able to reconstitute hard drives.  Were none of them able to help you?

The hardest stuff to back up is the email, because the user does not have control over it.  Shortly after my last letter I foolishly tried to update my Earthlink files to get some of their advanced sub-programs.  What a disaster!  Much of my e-mail was gone, including yours and many other things were messed up.  I could not get the system to work.

Fortunately, the new version did not overwrite the previous version.  I found I could simply start using the old version again and all is well.  My email is restored, including yours, so I'll be able to resend anything you need, including your letters back to the beginning of 2003 when I got the new PC.  The only real harm was to waste the best part of two days of my life trying to recover.

Our Baltic cruise begins late in July.  Before then we will have my wife's cousin and her husband (very good friends of ours) visit us starting on the 6 July.  Later we'll drive with them to visit the cousin's sister in Northern Calif (almost 1000 km each way).  We return on the 12th July.  Through my son we'll rent a Toyota SUV (called the Highlander here) so we have plenty of room for luggage and for 4 people.

Our trip to Europe starts in London.  We fly there on the 20th of July for a few days.  The cruise starts in Dover on July 24th and returns on the 5th of August.  We leave London for LA on Aug 6.

It seems these days that only the die-hard Bush supporters do not believe in the serious problem of global warming.  Weather seems to be becoming more extreme world-wide.  We had a very warm spell at the end of April.  On some days Los Angeles high temperature records were broken by 3 - 5 degrees C.  Your papers seem very interesting.  Will reprints be available in English?  I'd think they would have a world-wide audience these days.

I sympathize with the effort needed to prepare a house for a sick person.  I did not realize you had your daughter-in-law's parent coming for hospitalization.  That sounds like a big effort on your part and hope things go well.

With best regards,

Ron

 

 

Wednesday, July 07, 2004 9:28 AM

Re: Space Ship 1

Dear Greenwood,

So, we are both going to be traveling in July.  We'll be leaving Friday July 9 to drive with our relatives to visit other relatives in Northern CA for a few days, returning on the 12th.  A little over a week later we're flying to London to start our cruise.  Leave on 20 July, returning on 6 August.

We went to see the new film "Fahrenheit 9/11" soon after it opened.  It is a devastating attack on President Bush and his cronies.  I give it my highest recommendation and understand why the jury in Cannes gave it the first prize.  It should be somewhat reassuring to sensible people around the world who think that all Americans are like Bush.  With any luck it will help defeat him this fall.

I hope your trip to China was a success and that your next trip to Hokkaido goes well.  I guess we'll both be visiting northern areas at the right time of year for temperature.

With best regards,

Ron

 

 

 


2004/8/9 15:59
VACATION
Dear Ron,

I assume you have come back from Baltic Cruise. How was the trip? During your long trip, we had made a short trip in Hokkaido.

Now I have new PC. Old PC is serving as Live Camera, and capturing Seven Mile Beach in every 10 minutes. Even in night, it broad cast black scene. Probably old PC may last long. Because it's HD and display are sleeping most of the time. My daughter understand the globe is round when she opened my live page in Amsterdam.

Luckily, I could recover your mails and could compile in our page of 2004. Could you check if you have time.

A new film "Fahrenheit 9/11" is not yet coming here. Probably it does not attract average peoples attention here.

We are having a very hot days in the last month. How is the weather in
California?

Best Regards,

Greenwood


 

 



2004/8/24 10:04
VACATION
Dear Greenwood,

Please forgive the long delay in writing after returning from vacation. As usual, we took on more than we expected; I took almost 600 pictures - digital and film. As you may recall we had just finished a family trip to Northern CA the week before our European trip - many more pictures added to
the 600.

Finally I've been able to dig out from all the things neglected while voyaging about.

Our trip was very fulfilling, we both got quite tired (in fact Connie was exhausted). She is just not up to the strain of traveling any more. Even with the ship as a mobile hotel things were difficult. She will be consulting her doctor this week since it seems this is not normal.

We even came home to find our garden damaged by good growth. A plantation of tomato plants had grown so big they toppled over the frames supposed to support them and were lying on the ground. Getting them upright and undamaged turned out to be quite a task. Then another day I woke to find one of our tree limbs lying on the newly-righted tomatoes and our roof. This required professional help from a tree trimmer. Finally, our new Toyota is now here and I've been arranging financing and other paperwork.

At last I feel able to get to my email! I will be sending pics, but need to do careful selection.

Our trip had so many elements, it's hard to begin; chronologically is probably best.

London was familiar ground with enough new stuff to be interesting. I spent one day just wandering around familiar streets and researching pubs and beer! Once again I was frustrated by the Houses of Commons - I've still never been there. When we went to try again we found it closed! We visited a few new tourist traps - including the London Eye - reputedly the highest sightseeing Ferris Wheel in the world. The view was spectacular, but the gloomy weather was disappointing. We spent three days in London before and one after our cruise. On the last day I was lucky to be able to visit the Great British Beer Festival - an incredible display of "Real Ale". Enough to warm the heart of any home brewer. On one of the many bars I counted over 50 "Beer Engines" - the hand pumps used for serving non-pressurized, Real Ale. Pity I only had a few hours.

Our cruise had wonderful destinations, but the food on the ship and the guides used for shore excursions were disappointing. In most places we just made our own way onshore instead of using the ship's optional tours. Exceptions were a train trip to Berlin and our visit to St.Petersburg. Berlin and Germany were very surprising. I did not expect such friendly and informal people, most of who spoke very good English. Where else would you find a taxi driver with Brahms on the car radio? (In contrast I found the English much "stiffer" and more formal).

I visited Checkpoint Charlie and the adjacent museum devoted to the Berlin Wall. The most moving place for me was the (fully restored) Reichstag. As the site of the fire which enabled Hitler to grab the office of Chancellor it was, perhaps, one of the fundamental historical turning points of the 20th century and of my life. Just outside, on the front lawn, there is an amazing memorial, something like the Vietnam memorial in Washington. This consists of dozens of stone slabs with names of victims of the Nazi death camps. For me nothing characterizes the modern German attitude better than this memorial.

The next day we sailed through the Kiel canal to the Baltic. It took most of the day and, although the day was drizzling rain, there were crowds of spectators along the whole length. A crewman told me that this happens every time they go through the canal (about every two weeks)! It seems that our ship was the highest ever to use the canal. During a renovation and expansion they put hinges on the mast and the funnels allowing them to be lowered so as to fit beneath the bridges over the canal. I'll be sure to send photos when I've selected them.

The digital camera was very successful. I now know when it is better and when worse than the film camera. For close-up, informal work it shines. The very short focal length (6 - 17 mm) makes it very resistant to camera shake and gives enormous depth of field. The max. aperture is f2.6, which gives it good low-light capability. Picture quality is often better than the film camera under these conditions. The big camera is best for long distance and landscape/scenery work (up to 200 mm focal length) and it's flash has greater range. I note that the technology of digital cameras continues to develop rapidly, especially with the number of pixels and the light-to-dark ratio per pixel. Not too soon I think film will be obsolete. I note Agfa will stop selling ordinary film. Kodak has drastically cut back it's film sector and is no longer promoting their Advantix format.

Obviously, it will take me much longer to cover all our trip. I'm afraid it will be another time.

I was sorry to hear of the deaths in one of the Japanese nuclear plants. Most people will blame the nuclear technology, even though higher pressure steam is commonplace in conventional steam plants. The sloppy maintenance in nuclear facilities, though, does raise many concerns. No doubt you remember the corrosion in the Davis-Besse plant here recently.

All my very best regards,

Ron


 

 


2004/9/5 16:06
Re: THIS LAND.........
Dear Ron,

I found your missing mail titled "This Land......" in Norton Anti Spam Folder.
I opened it and enjoyed very much. I wonder why Norton specified it as Spam Page. Any way, I distributed it to my friends.

Thank you.
Greenwood
 

 

 

Friday, September 10, 2004 9:49 PM
Fahrenheit911

Dear Ron,
Today is third year after 9/11. A few day ago, at last I have seen Fahrenheit911. It was a well made film using only unused films taken by media. Regardless of this film, it seems that Mr. Bush is supported by most of people in US. Probably pushed by an tragedy in Russia. Mr. Bush and Putin are both powering fuel on to the fire made by Osama Bin Raden. European way of managing the situation seem more appropriate for coping with those radical people.

By the way, "Fahrenheit911"is lacking the information about Neoconservatives who strongly pushed Mr. Bush towards a war against Iraq. Michael Moore placed Saudi connection as a central dogma of this movie. Why he didn't mention about another contribution by Neoconservatives. Is this his intentional will or just his negligence?
Best Regards,
Greenwood
 


 



2004/9/14 6:48
Re: Fahrenheit911
Dear Greenwood,

You raise a good point about the neocons. I don't know why Moore placed the emphasis where he did - on the oil business (and the rich in general). Perhaps he thought getting more complicated would dilute his message. I expected the political points he made in the film; what surprised me was the emotional content. Many of the people in our theater were crying by the end.

It's not quite true to say that Bush has most Americans on his side. After a National Convention it is normal for a candidate to go ahead in the polls. GWB's "bounce" is not unusual and will probably go back to the "too close to call" category soon. Within limits of polling I'd guess his support right at the 50% level. Events between now and November will determine the outcome. In this regard there is a widespread belief that the capture of Osama bin Laden has been arranged for this month or next, so as to influence the voters in favor of W. Nobody apart from the most dedicated Republicans has any difficulty believing this could be true. We shall see!

It's also clear that Putin is also benefiting from Bush's policy and actions. He is able to cover up the brutality and mistakes in Chechnya by "wrapping himself in the flag" - in this case the flag of "Anti-Terrorism".

Many people who oppose Bush feel he is the best recruiter Osama has. Certainly there seems to be no lack of recruits in Iraq. One theory is that the pressure will be kept on in Iraq because it helps W get reelected. This is the same way the generals in the USSR and the USA used to help each other get bigger budgets by rattling their sabers at each other.

Many Democrats are feeling strongly disappointed with the campaign Kerry is running, but he does have a history of coming from behind to win - as he did
in the Democratic primary elections.

On a completely different front, we got two big items of good news last night when our sons and their wives were here for dinner. Peter (the younger) told us he had just bought a house 3 km from us. As soon as we had digested that, his sister-in-law, Sally (Bill's wife), told us she was 8 weeks pregnant, with the baby expected in April! Connie was almost overcome since these are two of the best things we've been hoping for. Neither of us has quite digested the news yet.

I hope your family affairs go as well as we have been enjoying lately.

Ron


 

 

Monday, September 20, 2004 7:33 AM
Congraturations

Dear Ron,
Congratulations for two good news for both of you! It is nice to have a family of your children living close to you. It is said that having grand children gives more pleasure than having children. I wonder whether we can enjoy such a pleasure.

My son and his wife are going to have a honeymoon trip to New Zealand. We can also meet my daughter's boy fried in the coming wedding ceremony. They are planning to visit Japan Alps and after that they whish to meet my mother during his short stay in Japan.

I have seen Michael Moore's film, "Bowing for Colonbine" over TV program. I felt it is better than his latest film.

NHK had made an interesting program. It claims that a political situation in 1920s is the starting point of current terrorism by Moslem people. A famous movie, “Lawrence of Arabia” is describing some scene of the situations. I remembered clearly the movie made in 1962 by David Lean. The book "KRAKATOA The Day the World Exploded August 27, 1883" by Simon Winchester is also hinting that Moslem's influence in Indonesia suddenly starter after the eruption of this volcano.

Interesting isn't it?
Best regards,

Greenwood

 




2004/9/23 8:40
Re: Congraturations
Dear Greenwood,

It seems the pregnancy celebration was premature. A few days later my daughter in law visited her doctor again who found no heartbeat in the fetus. As a result the pregnancy had to be aborted. The good news is that such a development is not rare and does not mean any sort of risk for future babies. At least we know the two of them are trying and expect a new start soon.

I also was impressed by Bowling for Columbine; its hard to choose which film I thought better. Yes, the United States seems to be making many of the same errors Britain and France made in the middle east. If anything we are blundering even more, being less experienced in Imperial Governing.

The big Bush bounce following the convention has faded. Recent polls put his support at about 48% with Kerry running about 3 points behind (3% is about the margin of error). Finally Kerry has started to be more critical of Bush's many mistakes in Iraq. This encourages his supporters, but it remains to be seen if it goes down well with the small number of swing voters who are undecided.

I think natural disasters always make people turn to religion. Islam is very aggressive in recruiting new members, so I find it understandable that
Krakatoa was followed by Muslim gains in Indonesia.

The troubling times here are having the same effect - we are becoming even more a very religious country (the US has a very high level of church attendance - far higher than almost all other industrial countries). Unfortunately, most of the recruits are to very fundamentalist, "bible thumping", anti-intellectual churches. George Bush is by no means alone in being "born again" (the phrase they use for joining such a church). As you know he claims to get instructions from God - just like Osama bin Laden. Old line, conservative churches are actually losing members to such fundamentalists.

From my English history I can verify the terrible things religious fanatics can do to each other (after all they are only doing those things to "God's enemies" for whom one needs have no mercy). I fear greatly for the world if this spread of violent organized religion continues.

With best regards,

Ron




 

Thursday, September 30, 2004 3:17 AM
FOLLOW THE INSTRUCTIONS!

Dear Ron,
I am sorry to hear that your joy of having grand children was postponed. But in any case, you can hope for.

After reading "The Great Unraveling......Losing Our Ways in the New Century" by Paul Krugman, I naturally selected to shoot a Pulitzer prize winning photo than saving the life of George W. Bush. Black and white film might be more appropriate.

The Krugman's book was a collection of the most of his columns in New York Times in the last few years. I missed most of his writings. Therefore, it was a good chance to remember thoroughly.

We counted 21 typhoons this year and half of them landed Japan. We experienced strongest wind in the history. Computer simulation by weather bureau predicted stronger wind and less number of occurrences under global warming. I would rather put a caption on his Pulitzer Prize winning photo saying that "He is a first causalities of his own policy"

By the way, Oil price is rising. Most people still think that political instability is the cause. But is there any possibly that we consumed half of the potential oil reserves?
Best regards,

Greenwood

 

 



2004/10/1 7:44
FOLLOW THE INSTRUCTIONS!
Dear Greenwood,

I agree with oil theorists like C. J. Campbell who believe that world oil production is just about at its peak. With the rapid increase in demand in
the world (especially in India, China and, perhaps, Russia) we can expect rising prices, more and more frequent crises and eventual a complete change in the world's energy use. It seems like the bad example of the USA will spread throughout the world.

Political instability will probably make things worse, but this is not new. One of W's worst side effects is the increase in instability in the Middle East.

Scarce oil might encourage conservation and reduce global warming, but there is another opposite possibility. Coal is still plentiful and cheap in at least the US and China (about 1/2 the cost of oil here on an energy basis). When oil gets expensive I look for the coal industry in both countries to push for a much larger share of the energy market. This will require brushing aside environmental rules - something W has been glad to do during the last 4 years. China has been making some talk about pollution, but if oil and gas get too expensive I suspect the virtues of coal to be brought up in their internal debates. Oddly enough the nuclear power proponents here are waking up again. They are talking like born-again environmentalists since it emits no CO2!

Polls here continue to slide in Bush's direction. Today's poll in the LA Times puts him 5 - 6% ahead of Kerry, who's campaign does not seem to be able to do anything well. Tonight there is the first debate between Bush and Kerry. I'm afraid that Bush's phony "popularist" persona will once again appeal to most voters here. At any time I expect him to capture Osama bin Laden - that would probably make his re-election a sure thing. If the debate goes badly for Kerry it might not matter.

Political analysts here are thinking and talking less about who will win the election. Instead, the possibilities of a Bush landslide are being discussed. I leave you with a quote.

people don't want to go to war.... But, after all, it's the leaders of the country who determine the policy and it's always a simple matter to drag the
people along whether it's a democracy or a fascist dictatorship or a parliament or a communist dictatorship.... Voice or no voice, the people can always be brought to the bidding of the leaders. That is easy. All you have to do is tell them they are being attacked and denounce the pacifists for
lack of patriotism and exposing the country to greater danger. It works the same way in any country.

How applicable to the way W is running the campaign. The author was Hermann Goering in an interview during his trial at Nuremberg.

Ron

 

 

Sunday, October 03, 2004 10:27 PM
FOLLOW THE INSTRUCTIONS!

Dear Ron,
Probably, your views on coal and nuclear power might come out to reality, I am afraid.

Hermann Goering's words are very persuasive. The world rolls on itself like this.

By the way, success of space ship one is reported here. It is said that Richard Branson, an owner of Virgin Atlantic Airways wills start business of the space flight.

After installing Windows XP Service Pack 2, suddenly, your pdf file, "EMPIRE OF BILIOUS AND DUBBIA, ET AL" attached to you mail of August 28 became readable. It is well made and I am now carefully reading it.

Best Regards,
Greenwood

 

 

 

Monday, October 04, 2004 11:17 PM
Re: FOLLOW THE INSTRUCTIONS!

Dear Ron,
Chiracsterix in David Horsey's "EMPIRE OF BILIOUS AND DUBBIA, ET AL” seemed named after famous Vercingetorix of Garia. Germans reminded me of your impression on Germans whom you have seen in your trip to Baltic. FAHRENHEIT IX/XI is also very Roman. But above all, an entire thinking reflects that of Prof. Krugman.

Good news is that Senator Kerriolanus is coming back to the stage again as you predicted.

External hard drive and USB #2 is a wise selection. I found it most easy to use and economical. I do not use any software to backup. I simply copy important file son to the external Drive when necessary. My experience is described in the following page.

http://www.asahi-net.or.jp/~pu4i-aok/pc/backup/backupe.htm

I found Windows XP Service Pack2 is useful. It is quite big size software of 80Mb. After installing it, you can find Windows Security Center in the System Tool of Accessories. It protects your PC with Firewall and check whether any Virus software is in the latest conditions. This means Norton is still required but Norton's firewall is not necessary.

Best Regards,
Greenwood

 





2004/10/5 4:33
FOLLOW THE INSTRUCTIONS!
Dear Greenwood,

I'm glad you're enjoying the jokes. I try to select only the ones I like best.

Today Bert Rutan and his crew successfully repeated the flight to fulfill the requirements so they have won the $10 million X-prize. It'll be interesting to see how the Branson project goes.

Rutan does not like to be involved with production of aircraft; he only is interested in new developments. So, once the first commercial machine is built, I expect he'll pass on production to an other company. Of course, that'll be years from now.

My friends and I have been discussing protection of computers from failure, viruses and other plagues. One phrase I like is; "There are two sorts of hard drives. Those that have failed and those that will". I already use "Ghost" to back up my hard drive, but it is laborious - several hours duration and swapping out a dozen CD's.

After discussions I've decided to buy an external hard drive which comes with provision to back up either automatically or by simply pushing a button. At the same time I'll upgrade to USB #2 to increase transfer speed.

I'm still researching what extra protection I need from malicious software. Norton, which I have, is good on viruses, but slow. For other attacks I may
add more programs. What has been your experience - do you have any recommendations?

With best regards,

Ron

 

 



2004/10/14 6:53
FOLLOW THE INSTRUCTIONS!
Dear Greenwood,

Yes, I'm sure the cartoonist re-read Caesar's "Gallic Wars" to find all his names.

Our Presidential election is just about balanced. The latest analysis showed essentially a dead heat. Kerry picked up some support after the first debate where Bush seemed angry and irritable. Tonight is the final debate; everybody is wondering about the outcome.

My appreciation of the digital camera continues to rise. I have now become somewhat more instinctive in its use and am learning better how to manipulate pictures on the computer. We have a local store of a chain which will print digital pictures for $0.19 per 150 x 100mm print. You read your memory card into a terminal, choosing among options such as print size, surface finish, etc. An hour later they have very good quality pictures. I'm beginning to wonder when I'll ever use my inventory of 35 mm film. Whenever I have need for photos I now choose the digital first.

It's been a while since we have talked about Hybrid cars. I finally tracked down the Toyota site with some real information on the continuously variable transmission used in the Prius. As I'd been told by an owner, it is a planetary gearbox. The arrangement is interesting and not what you'd logically do for a first design. So, it looks as though there has been a lot of development work.

The engine is connected to the planetary carrier, the generator to the sun wheel and the motor/drive shaft to the ring gear. (They say nothing about varying the motor speed/drive shaft speed independently, so I'd guess they are locked together). I'm trying to resuscitate my rusty mechanical engineering to look at the permutations available. It's trickier than I thought, but I believe Toyota is correct to claim "Its planetary gear can transfer power between engine, motor, generator and wheels in almost any combination". My recollection is that, with the ability to change the sun wheel speed, you can have almost any relationship between the planetary carrier and the ring gear. Where I'm getting hung up at the moment is figuring out how the torque/HP relationship can be made consistent with car driving.

I think the whole thing is something of an engineering tour-de-force. It's only applicable to a hybrid as far as I know, which is a pity. Perhaps some
engineer somewhere is busy trying to make that statement wrong!

I can quite understand why Ford chose to buy this from Toyota rather than trying to come up with something on its own. No doubt Toyota has the whole
thing wrapped up in patents.

The site is

http://www.toyota.com/planetkaizen/

I heartily recommend a visit. Go to the "Explore" section and type "Hybrid" into the search bar at the top to see what sorts of info they have.

If you go to the "Media Center" in the "Encounter" section of the site, they have a link to the "Toyota Technical Site" in Japan. I've not looked into that yet, but am told it's VERY detailed, and also mostly in Japanese. The English options are a little sparse.

With best regards,

Ron

 

 

 




2004/10/16 14:34
Re: FOLLOW THE INSTRUCTIONS!
Dear Ron,

It seemed that Mr. Koizumi is in favor of Mr. Bush. Most of the people here is booing.

I think digital camera is useful, because you can manipulate photo afterward  by computer. When I am not satisfied with the ability of automatic white  balance of Sony camera, I can improve the color balance by pushing a button  of "Photo Shop". Photo Shop is well-designed software. Recently, I replaced  some photos by touching up existing low quality photos in my HP.

Thank you for mentioning Toyota HP. Now I can understand the mechanism of  this complex system. I understand the planetary gear's function is something  like differential gear. Engine power is split into two parts, i.e. to  generator and to motor/power shaft while keeping engine, generator and  motor/power shaft rotating at any rotational speed independently. You can  use any differential gear type mechanism, but this planetary gear might be  most compact and low cost. To me, both generator and motor looks like to  have similar mechanical design, i.e. rotor equipped with Neodymmagnet and  stator coil. Thus generator stator coil generate AC. Generated AC is
converted into DC by solid state AC/DC converter. Generated DC is then  accumulated in battery. Accumulated DC is then converted to AC by solid  state DC/AC inverter. AC generates rotating magnetic field and drives  Neodymmagnet rotor. Hence no brush is required for generator and motor.  Probably control system change cycles of AC by electronically.

Nissan announced to use capacitor instead of conventional chemical battery for their coming Hybrid Truck. I am contemplating that the principle of capacitor is standing on a classical physical basis.
I am traveling in the coming week in Japan meeting friends.

Best Regards,
Greenwood

 


 

 

Sunday, October 17, 2004 6:31 AM

Hybrid Car

Dear Ron,

After thinking more about Prius, I realized that Planetary Gear is a key technology for the development of the hybrid car as you pointed out. Simple differential gear can not give same function. I updated my previous HP as follows.

http://www.asahi-net.or.jp/~pu4i-aok/cooldata2/hybridcar/hybridcare.htm


Thank you for your help for better understanding.
Regards,
Greenwood

 

 



2004/10/23 7:31
Re: Hybrid Car
Dear Greenwood.

I visited the site you gave below. I find it very clear.

In recent days I've been wondering how realistic the mileage figures are. The EPA test figures are generally better than you get in usual driving. I suspect the EPA tests have resulted in the development of very sophisticated driving techniques which are used by all car companies to get the best possible results. These techniques are very different from any usual driving method - especially in city driving.

The designs of cars are also affected in unsuspecting and often strange ways. For example, to get good highway mileage, some versions of car models have very high gear ratios which are too high for comfortable driving in traffic. (Of course, there are also many design changes which help mileage and also improve other matters, such as more efficient engines and transmissions).

So, drivers don't expect to get the EPA results. Now it seems to me that this gap is getting larger. For example, my 1987 Toyota Camry was rated by the EPA for highway driving at 34 MPG (Miles per Gallon) and 27 MPG in the city. My driving (mostly on the highway) was about 25 to 30 MPG, with some tanks as high as 35 to 40 MPG when only on the highway.

When I bought my 1997 Subaru it was rated with EPA Mileage of 21 (city) and 27 (highway). In mostly highway driving I averaged about 20 to 25 MPG -
similar to the comparable results with the Camry.

In contrast, when talking to owners of the Prius, I've not found anybody who gets anywhere close to the 60 MPG (city) / 51 MPG (highway) claimed for the car. Most get mixed driving mileage in the 40 to 45 MPG range - very good fuel economy, but a long way short of the EPA figures. The ratio to the highway figure (51 MPG) is in line with other cars, but the 61 MPG in the city seems way high.

It's too early to tell about my new Toyota Avalon. I've put very few miles on yet and will be careful to keep track on our first highway trip data.

It seems the Prius mileage (especially in the city) is flattered by the EPA tests. Toyota's numbers are consistent with the EPA, but one would expect that. I'll keep trying to find real driving data to see if Hybrids are better in EPA tests than in normal driving.

With best regards,

Ron



 


2004/10/31 10:48
Re: Hybrid Car
Dear Ron,

No doubt, EPA testing condition might be milder than you encounter in the  cities. It only tells you the difference between different designs.

In those days, I am feeling driving Jeep is guilty. In any case, I don't use  it for daily life. For short distance, I walk. For long distance, I use
electric train.

In October 23, I experienced strongest earthquake in my life time in a hut  standing on the summit of Mt. Naeba which is located 60km from the center of  the earthquake. Falling rocks blocked our cars parked in the middle point of the mountain.

http://www.asahi-net.or.jp/~pu4i-aok/traveldata4/naeba/naebae.htm

Due to quick action of the village people, we could return home safely.  About 30 people died and two villages were blocked off by landslide. Rapid  trains run off the tracks. Tunnel was twisted. No one can tell when thy can  start operation again.

Now your election days are coming soon. Probably most important time in  those days. Osama bin Laden seems in good condition. A Japanese is in  hostage for the time being. I was very shaken when I learned that about  100,000 innocent civilian died in the Iraq war.

Best regards,
Greenwood

 

 

2004/11/10 13:51

IMMIGRATION

Dear Ron,
It is very undastandable for people's interest in Canadian Immigration. Although Mr. Koizumi is in favor of Mr. Bush, about 80% Japanese supported  Kelly. But business people here support Mr. Bush because he will weaken US  economy and give them a chance to come back.
It is very interesting how he ends the war.

Best Regards,
Greenwood
 

 




2004/11/13 12:27
MANY TOPICS
Dear Greenwood,

It seems there are many loose ends, so I'll try to clear some of them up.

COMPUTER - After your disastrous experience in June when your FAT file went, I've  been studying which way to backup my hard drive. I decided to get an external hard drive.  I bought an Iomega 160 GB drive and now have all the files on my hard drive copied there.  It has an automatic backup sequence which can back up at any interval, including "as you  work". The backup is sophisticated, only changing new or changed files, so later backups  take much less time than the first which took several hours (I only have USB-1). I plan  on backing up every week.

This is just in time, I think, since my hard drive is still making bearing noise.

BUSH ELECTION - Among Democrats there is still a great deal of gloom. My judgment is  that the Republican policies of tax cuts, pandering to the "Moral" voter (i.e.
Anti-Abortion, Anti-homosexual, etc) and a patriotic war in Iraq appeal very strongly to  about half the electorate. The Democrats just don't have any issues with the same "Sex"  appeal.

Of course, each of these policies has its downside in the future, but most people believe  the lies Bush tells, such as "Reagan proved deficits don't matter". Overseas markets are  not fooled, however; I note the Yen is down to about 105 to the $ and the Euro is  approaching $1.30. More and more of my investments are in overseas markets, but not yet  50%.

Top priorities for Bush are making his tax cuts permanent and "Privatizing" Social  Security. Each of these would add $Trillions to the next ten years' deficits, just as our  Baby Boom generation is about to retire and fundamentally change the budget balance for  endless deficits. "Irresponsible" comes nowhere near describing the lunatic nature of  this philosophy. So, take heart, the rest of the world should be easily able to exploit  this self-destruction in the US economy.

MT. NAEBA - What a trip you had! It seems that your exposure was almost the same as  we experienced in Manhattan Beach with the Northridge E.Q. That one was about 6.5  Richter, as I recall, and we are about 70 km from the center. In our house we have a long  chandelier in our stair well. A few seconds after the quake I noticed the chandelier  swinging up to 45 degrees from the vertical - in other words about 1g force. The only  damage to the house was a small crack which I sealed up with silicone putty.

The views made from the Geographical Survey were very helpful in visualizing the mountain.  The photos were exceptionally interesting as a result. It looks like winter has already  arrived up there.

OTHER HOUSE TOPICS - We are in the middle of a number of maintenance chores. Much of  our 50 - year roof needed repair. I hired a contractor last month. A few days after he  started we had the rainiest period on record for so early in our season. LA got about 33%  of it's annual average rain in 2 weeks - while my roof was being fixed. Luckily I kept  pressure on the contractor to not leave any gaps. We had just one episode of leaking,  which did little damage.

Now the roof is fixed, I'm going to hire another contractor to paint the new wood in the  roof and also repaint all the other trim to match. I have my fingers crossed about the  weather. After that we have to trim trees when they go dormant in January - so we'll be  busy for quite a while.

There is quite a bit about cars, but this letter is long enough. I'll send that in  another.

With my best regards,

Ron



 


2004/11/13 12:28
CAR ITEMS
Dear Greenwood,

Here's the second part of my letter - the Auto section.

We took possession of the Toyota Avalon at the end of August. So far we've not had any  long trips, so mileage and experience is very limited. Connie is delighted with the car.  It is MUCH quieter than any of our previous cars, even my 1997 Subaru. The ride is very  soft and there is an enormous amount of space in the car. Everything works and gives  signs that it is to the usual high Toyota standards. We expect many, many good years out  of it.

CHALLENGE BIBENDUM - This year's challenge was moved to Asia for the first time; it  had alternated between Europe and the US. The site was in Shanghai and had a much greater  Asian participation than before. Symbolism was very strong since it was held at  Shanghai's new Formula One race track - built from scratch in 18 months, costing almost $400 million. A university campus with a college of auto  studies was located nearby along with a US-style Auto Mall with 8 dealerships. Only two  occupied so far - by VW and Buick.

Overall there was a 50% increase in vehicles and participants to 140 and 1500  respectively. There were very few completely new cars from major manufacturers. Gossip  had it that they didn't want the Chinese to see their latest stuff for fear of piracy.

Much of the show was intimately connected to China itself for a number of reasons. First  the Chinese market is already third in the world and is expected to increase at 6 - 7% for  the next 20 years or so - could easily become #1 in a few years. It is already the  biggest world market for trucks. (Their accident rates are also astronomical - 600 deaths  per day - a rate more than 5x the US with a fleet only 1/3 the US.)

Pollution is also horrendous in China. Their gasoline is almost from the stone-age (high  Sulfur, probably full of Benzene and other noxious HC). It'll need massive refinery  investment to fix the gas so catalysts can be used to start cleaning up the air. On the  other hand, the Three Gorges Dam project is expected to eventually produce 18 Giga watts,  which is far greater than China can use at the moment.

Putting these facts together, they are concentrating on battery-powered vehicles. At  present they are making lots of electric motorized bikes and scooters. They also claim to  have made faster charging, more efficient Lithium ion cells. They had two four-wheel  electric cars which had better range than most of the other 7 cars from the rest of the  world. Given that China is now graduating far more engineers per year than any other  country, they could certainly develop this option quickly if they want to.

On the world front the Europeans seem more interested than previously in Hybrid and H2  cars (up till now diesel was their main focus). VW and Audi both had fuel cell cars and  VW had a diesel hybrid. Biodiesel was also much in evidence because the bio part is not  counted as a fossil fuel or as a contributor to global warming in the Bibendum scoring  system. Many of the diesels had quite good performance.

In the actual competition, the Prius ended up in first place as it did last year. Other  front runners included an Audi A8 diesel, a Mercedes Fuel Cell A-class and two electric  cars from Volvo and Courreges (the latter using an AC Propulsion technology motor - the  company which did a lot of the work on the old GM electric cars).

Michelin had an interesting H2 fuel cell electric-hybrid. This is part of a project they  have for the "Michelin Active Wheel". Each front wheel has an electric motor and all four  have an integrated active suspension and disc/regenerative braking systems with ABS and  traction control. They hope to market these to car makers which would allow Michelin to  expand from tires to the whole 4 corners of a car. Their electric car looked quite  impressive - 4 seater with 250 mile range at 50 mph, 0-60 mph in 12 seconds and cornering  up to 1 g. Interestingly it uses not only bottled H2, but O2 as well. They see home  electrolyzers producing both gases by solar electricity. To boost short term power they  use "super" capacitors instead of batteries.

Ford had a H2 powered IC Focus. This could be put into production much faster than fuel  cell cars. As usual, there is a chicken and egg situation. They'll not market it until  there is a H2 infrastructure, and who is to invest in the infrastructure??? (Our Calif.  Governor, Arnold, has talked about it, but hasn't said where he'll get the money while CA  is still facing a multi-$Billion budget shortfall next year). How did his visit to Japan go?

Michelin will not hold a challenge next year, skipping to 2006. They have been stretched  putting on this year's show and there were not many new concepts this year. Perhaps once  in 2 years is adequate.

A long letter, I'm afraid. I hope you find it of interest.

With best regards,

Ron

 

 

 

2004/11/30 22:06

MANY TOPICS
Dear Ron,
In those days, I was busy in many aspects. As you have done on your house, I  asked local contractor to replace damaged eaves trough by typhoon and to  replace all of them into more fashionable one and to repaint all trims of  roofs and windows.

I am still using portable 20Gb HD for backup. The other day, I accidentally  fell down to the floor of a tram car and dropped my bag containing the  portable HD. Luckily HD was not damaged but I have to rethink more safe  backup system. Another point is automatic backup system as you are using now. I am still using manual backup and afraid to miss some thing important.

I have obtained an authorization to use digital data supplied by  Geographical Survey and publish secondary 3D map products on to my HP. Their  condition is to make clear in Japanese that those maps are based on their data. Accordingly, I am adding more maps for past record of climbing.

I was not satisfied with the color quality of Sony digital camera, but found  that Adobe Photoshop Elements could enhance color expression. Thus I am busy  in replacing some bad quality photos after touching up by Photoshop.

About Bush election, I think democracy is inefficient, but historically, it  proved some kind of stability.

Recently, I found a retired board member of Mitsubishi Motor is living very  close to me. He is claiming that the scandals about Mitsubishi Motor is  understandable because his advice about client's claims were not accepted by  the top and subsequently he was chased out of the company. He is at the age  of 71 and still own a sailing boat called Sheherazade. I helped him to move  his boat to new marina across Sagami Bay. The story is on my HP.

In another local meeting of Probus, I met a retired board member of Toyota.  I talked him about your interest in Prius and your son in US Toyota. He was  very pleased and told me that in some place in US, people cannot drive a car  alone by law. But with Prius, you can drive alone. Is this true? When I told him my analysis, that Toyota's success over Mitsubishi was  achieved by aiming individual persons, while Mitsubishi's traditional target  were government and large organizations, he agreed.

I have read your analysis about CHALLENGE BIBENDUM with great interest. I think "super" capacitors technology is emerging. Capacitors need lots of  surface area but charcoal like material can provide such surface area. A set  of small solar cell and "super" capacitors are sold here as spot light for  gardens and signal light for road hedge. Nissan is thinking to use it for
their Hybrid Truck.

I enjoyed "NOTICE OF REVOCATION OF INDEPENDENCE TO CITIZENS OF THE UNITED  STATES OF AMERICA" very much and circulated it to my friend. It is finally settled in my HP.

Yours truly,
Greenwood

 




2004/12/19 11:23

ENGINEERS AT WORK
Dear Ron,
It was beautifully edited. What a chance. I circulated it to many friends of  mine. Most of them enjoyed very much and some returned another interesting  video.
Greenwood

Pilots often mention that "Aircraft of Aeroflot are rubbish but pilots fly them by their skills. KAL also have rubbish planes, but their pilot have guts" It seems that a pilot on KAL just landing Hong Kong old airport has guts.
 

 

 

 

Thursday, December 23, 2004 4:25 AM
Merry Christmas


Dear Ron,
This is well made.

http://www.jacquielawson.com/viewcard.asp?code=0212320003

Greenwood

 

 



2004/12/24 5:13
Re: Merry Christmas

Thank you, Greenwood. It was wonderful. Connie and I send our very best  greetings for the season.

Its been another year where I've greatly enjoyed our conversations. I hope  the new year continues to be kind to all of us.

Ron

December 31, 2004


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