民主党得票率 民主党 選挙前 失業率 実質経済成長率 インフレ率
(spline) 政権
1889
1890 4.0 5.2 -2.0
5.4 2.4 -1.6
1892 51.7 51.7 R 3.0 7.5 -3.7
50.4 11.7 -6.8 2.2
49.2 18.4 -4.6 -6.3
48.3 13.7 9.7 -1.3
1896 47.8 47.8 D 14.4 -3.8 -2.7
47.8 14.5 7.5 0.5
47.9 12.4 0.3 3.2
47.7 6.5 7.4 3.2
1900 46.8 46.8 R 5.0 0.9 4.8
45.0 4.0 9.5 -0.8
42.7 3.7 -1.1 3.3
40.8 3.9 3.0 1.2
1904 40.0 40.0 R 5.4 -3.2 1.2
40.7 4.3 5.4 2.0
42.4 1.7 9.5 2.7
44.3 2.8 -0.3 4.2
1908 45.5 45.5 R 8.0 -10.0 -0.8
45.6 5.1 10.0 3.3
45.1 5.9 0.7 2.9
44.7 6.7 0.9 -16.1
1912 45.3 45.3 R 4.6 4.1 23.3
47.3 4.3 -1.1 0.6
49.9 7.9 -6.2 1.0
51.7 8.5 -2.3 3.3
1916 51.7 51.7 D 5.1 6.4 12.4
49.0 4.6 -0.6 23.4
44.4 1.4 12.4 16.7
39.0 1.4 -4.8 2.3
1920 34.1 34.1 D 5.2 -6.1 14.0
30.6 11.7 -10.5 -14.8
28.7 6.7 14.3 -5.3
28.1 2.4 10.2 2.5
1924 28.8 28.8 R 5.0 -2.2 -1.2
30.6 3.2 6.8 1.9
33.3 1.8 4.5 0.4
36.7 3.3 -1.5 -2.4
1928 40.8 40.8 R 4.2 -0.6 0.8
45.3 3.2 5.5 0.4
49.8 8.7 -10.3 -3.3
54.0 15.9 -8.4 -9.1
1932 57.4 57.4 R 23.6 -14.4 -11.2
59.8 24.9 -2.6 -2.1
61.0 21.7 7.1 8.5
61.4 20.1 8.2 1.9
1936 60.8 60.8 D 16.9 12.8 0.7
59.5 14.3 4.0 4.8
57.8 19.0 -4.8 -2.4
56.1 17.2 6.7 -0.7
1940 54.7 54.7 D 14.6 6.6 2.5
54.0 9.9 14.3 8.2
53.7 4.7 13.4 10.6
53.6 1.9 14.4 4.5
1944 53.4 53.4 D 1.2 6.2 2.0
52.8 19.0 -2.5 2.3
52.0 3.9 -15.5 15.7
50.9 3.9 -2.8 13.2
1948 49.6 49.6 D 3.8 3.9 6.8
48.3 5.9 0.0 -0.4
46.9 5.3 8.5 1.7
45.6 3.3 10.3 5.0
1952 44.4 44.4 D 3.0 3.9 1.6
43.3 2.9 4.0 1.6
42.4 5.5 -1.3 1.5
42.0 4.4 5.6 3.4
1956 42.0 42.0 R 4.1 2.1 3.3
42.7 4.3 1.7 3.6
44.2 6.8 -0.8 2.1
46.5 5.5 5.8 2.4
1960 49.7 49.7 R 5.5 2.2 1.6
53.8 6.7 2.6 1.0
57.8 5.5 5.3 2.2
60.6 5.7 4.1 1.6
1964 61.1 61.1 D 5.2 5.3 1.5
58.5 4.5 5.8 2.7
53.8 3.8 5.8 3.6
48.1 3.8 2.9 2.6
1968 42.7 42.7 D 3.6 4.1 5.0
38.8 3.5 2.4 5.6
36.5 4.9 -0.3 5.5
36.1 5.9 2.8 5.7
1972 37.5 37.5 R 5.6 5.0 4.7
40.7 4.9 5.2 6.5
44.7 5.6 -0.5 9.1
48.3 8.5 -1.3 9.8
1976 50.1 50.1 R 7.7 4.9 6.4
49.4 7.1 4.7 6.7
47.0 6.1 5.3 7.3
43.8 5.8 2.5 8.9
1980 41.1 41.1 D 7.2 -0.2 9.0
39.7 7.6 1.9 9.7
39.4 9.7 -2.5 6.4
40.0 9.6 3.6 3.9
1984 41.0 41.0 R 7.5 6.8 3.7
42.2 7.2 3.4 3.0
43.4 7.0 2.7 2.6
44.7 6.2 3.7 3.2
1988 46.0 46.0 R 5.5 4.4 3.3
5.3 3.0 4.1
備考
D=Democratic R=Republican
１９１６年以前の民主党得票率は Fair,The Effect of Economic Events
on Votes For President,"Review of Economics and Statistics",1978,15,
2,pp159-173.より。
さらに、Statistical Abstract of the United States,U.S.Department of
Commerce BUREAU OF THE CENSUS と 週刊東洋経済「経済統計年鑑１９９０」
から作成した。